Model2 Regressions - V06 - Hybrid
Mike Wise
27 Mar 2017
Data pre-processed and analyzed from chat logs and web logs by Marcus Collins.
Analysis based on R-Scripts from Jacob LaRiviere.
Experiment designs from Marcus Collins and Jacob LaRiveier.
R-Markdown and plots from Mike Wise.
Initialization of libraries
library(tidyverse,quietly=T,warn.conflicts=F)
library(lubridate,quietly=T,warn.conflicts=F)
library(scales,quietly=T,warn.conflicts=F)
library(zoo,quietly=T,warn.conflicts=F)
library(lmtest,quietly=T,warn.conflicts=F)
library(sandwich,quietly=T,warn.conflicts=F)
library(gridExtra,quietly=T,warn.conflicts = F)
library(knitr,quietly=T,warn.conflicts = F)Set random seeds, record start time and version.
set.seed(1234)
version <-0.6
versionstring <- sprintf("Version %.1f",version)
starttime <- Sys.time()
startfmttime <- sprintf(format(starttime, "%d %b %Y - %H:%M:%S"))
print(sprintf("%s created on %s",versionstring,startfmttime))## [1] "Version 0.6 created on 27 Mar 2017 - 20:44:09"Various constants
tztz <- "UTC" # Apparently all of our time zones are UTC...
s2date <- function(strdate){
return(as.POSIXct(strdate,tz=tztz))
}
firstday <- s2date("2015-01-01") # we will count days from the first day in 2015
smcdates <- c("2016-08-17/red/0-30%","2016-09-1/red/30-50%","2016-09-07/red/50-100%")
xbxdates <- c("2016-10-11/purple/0-10%","2016-10-18/purple/10-30%","2016-11-01/purple/30-50%","2016-12-15/purple/50-90%",
"2016-11-17/blue/content change")
totdates <- c(smcdates,xbxdates)
smcback <- "lightsteelblue1"
xbxback <- "darkseagreen2"
xabback <- "darkseagreen3"
totback <- "wheat"
fpath <- "../TorontoData"
sdate <- s2date("2016-06-01")
mdate <- s2date("2017-01-01")
edate <- s2date("2017-03-07")
verbose <- 2
justdoone <- F # for testingMisc utility functions
crackdate <- function(datestr){
sar <- unlist(strsplit(datestr,"/"))
sdate <- sar[[1]]
date <- s2date(sdate)
val <- 0
sval <- sar[[3]]
levpart <- sar[[3]]
pctpresent <- F
if (grepl("%",levpart)){
levpart <- gsub("%","",levpart)
val <- as.numeric(unlist(strsplit(levpart,"-"))[[2]])
sval <- gsub("-","_",levpart)
pctpresent <- T
}
return(list(date=date,sdate=sdate,val=val,sval=sval,pctpresent=pctpresent))
}
addStepDateToVek <- function(dates,idx,dtvek,vvek){
cd1 <- crackdate(dates[[idx]])
if (!cd1$pctpresent){
# if there is no % don't do anything
return(vvek)
}
dt1 <- cd1$date
if (idx<length(dates)){
cd2 <- crackdate(dates[[idx+1]])
dt2 <- cd2$date
} else {
dt2 <- max(dtvek)
}
#print("addstepdate")
#print(dt1)
#print(dt2)
val <- cd1$val
tochg <- dt1<=dtvek & dtvek<= dt2
vvek[ tochg ] <- val
#print(sprintf("changed %d values to %d",sum(tochg),val))
return(vvek)
}
getStepDates <- function(dates,dtvek){
vvek <- rep(0,length(dtvek))
for (i in 1:length(dates)){
vvek <- addStepDateToVek(dates,i,dtvek,vvek)
}
return(vvek)
}
getSmcStepDates <- function(dtvek){
return(getStepDates(smcdates,dtvek))
}
getXabStepDates <- function(dtvek){
return(getStepDates(xbxdates,dtvek))
}Plot functions
addVlinesAndText <- function(vlines,gp){
if (is.null(vlines)) return(gp) # do nothing in this case
# split the lines and convert to data.frame
sar <- strsplit(vlines,"/")
# the following reforms the date strings into a data.frame for geom_vline
ldf <- data.frame(t(matrix(unlist(sar),length(sar[[1]]),length(sar)))) #tricky
names(ldf) <- c("dt","clr","lab")
ldf$dt <- s2date(ldf$dt)
ldf$ndt <- as.numeric(ldf$dt)
# add a newline to the front so as to display the text
# this keeps the text from writing on top of the vline
ldf$lab <- paste0("\n",ldf$lab)
# now actually add the verticle lines and the text
gp <- gp + geom_vline(xintercept=ldf$ndt,color=ldf$clr) +
annotate(geom="text",x=ldf$dt,y=0,label=ldf$lab,color=ldf$clr,hjust=0,angle=90,na.rm=T)
return(gp)
}
addBackground <- function(backg,gp){
if (is.null(backg)) return(gp) # do nothing in this case
gp <- gp + theme(panel.background = element_rect(fill = backg))
return(gp)
}
overdate <- function(ovdate,defdate){
# date override
rv <- defdate
if (!is.null(ovdate)) {
rv <- ovdate
}
return(rv)
}
dailyplot <- function(ddf,x,y,mtit="",xlab="date",ylab=NULL,vlines=NULL,backg=NULL,series=NULL,ovsdate=NULL,ovedate=NULL){
# Single series plot with monthly breaks on the x-axis
# override dates if needed
dpsdate <- overdate(ovsdate,sdate)
dpedate <- overdate(ovedate,edate)
brkctrl <- "1 month"
dltdays <- difftime(dpedate,dpsdate,"days")
if (dltdays<30) brkctrl <- "1 day"
gp <- ggplot(ddf,aes_string(x=x,y=y)) +
geom_line(aes_string(color=series),na.rm=T) +
xlab(xlab) + ylab(ylab) + ggtitle(mtit) +
scale_x_datetime("Date",breaks = date_breaks(brkctrl),limits=c(dpsdate,dpedate))
gp <- addVlinesAndText(vlines,gp)
gp <- addBackground(backg,gp)
return(gp)
}
residplot <- function(ddf,x,y,mtit="",xlab="date",ylab=NULL,vlines=NULL,backg=NULL,series=NULL,ovsdate=NULL,ovedate=NULL){
# Single series plot with monthly breaks on the x-axis
# override dates if needed
dpsdate <- overdate(ovsdate,sdate)
dpedate <- overdate(ovedate,edate)
brkctrl <- "1 month"
dltdays <- difftime(dpedate,dpsdate,"days")
if (dltdays<30) brkctrl <- "1 day"
gp <- ggplot(ddf,aes_string(x=x,y=y)) +
geom_point(aes_string(color=series),na.rm=T) +
xlab(xlab) + ylab(ylab) + ggtitle(mtit) +
scale_x_datetime("Date",breaks = date_breaks(brkctrl),limits=c(dpsdate,dpedate)) +
theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 30, hjust = 1))
gp <- addVlinesAndText(vlines,gp)
gp <- addBackground(backg,gp)
hp <- ggplot(ddf) + geom_histogram(aes_string(x=y),bins=30)
hp <- addBackground(backg,hp)
ghp <- grid.arrange(gp, hp, ncol=2,widths = c(2,1))
return(ghp)
}Read in consolidated chat, call, and session volume data
stload <- Sys.time()
tfname <- sprintf("%s/%s",fpath,"colsolidatedTorontoData01.csv")
condf <- read.csv(tfname)
minsessfilt <- 5000
nbef <- nrow(condf)
condf <- condf %>% filter(minsessfilt<actsess)
naft <- nrow(condf)
print(sprintf("Filtered %d of %d hours because sessions less than %d",(nbef-naft),naft,minsessfilt))## [1] "Filtered 9 of 5815 hours because sessions less than 5000"condf <- condf %>% mutate( dt = as.POSIXct(dt,tz=tztz) ) %>%
mutate( log_winchib = log(winchib) ) %>%
mutate( log_wincall = log(wincall) ) %>%
mutate( log_xbxchib = log(xbxchib) ) %>%
mutate( log_xbxcall = log(xbxcall) ) %>%
mutate( rate_winchib = winchib/actsess ) %>%
mutate( rate_wincall = wincall/actsess ) %>%
mutate( rate_xbxchib = xbxchib/actsess ) %>%
mutate( rate_xbxcall = xbxcall/actsess )
dcondf <- condf %>% group_by(dnum) %>% summarise(dt=min(dt),
totchib=sum(totchib),winchib=sum(winchib),xbxchib=sum(xbxchib),
totcall=sum(totcall),wincall=sum(wincall),xbxcall=sum(xbxcall),
actsess=sum(actsess),actuser=sum(actuser)
)
elap <- as.numeric((Sys.time()-stload)[1],units="secs")
print(sprintf("Loading consolidated data took %.1f secs",elap))## [1] "Loading consolidated data took 0.1 secs"chats
if (verbose>=2){
pltdf <- dcondf %>% gather(series,chib,-dt) %>% filter(series %in% c("totchib","winchib","xbxchib"))
dailyplot(pltdf,"dt","chib",series="series",mtit="Chats In Block",ylab="Sum",vlines=totdates,backg=totback)
}
# calls
if (verbose>=2){
pltdf <- dcondf %>% gather(series,call,-dt) %>% filter(series %in% c("totcall","wincall","xbxcall"))
dailyplot(pltdf,"dt","call",series="series",mtit="Calls",ylab="Sum",vlines=totdates,backg=totback)
}
# sessions
if (verbose>=2){
pltdf <- dcondf %>% gather(series,active,-dt) %>% filter(series %in% c("actsess","actuser"))
dailyplot(pltdf,"dt","active",series="series",mtit="Sessions",ylab="Sum",vlines=totdates,backg=totback)
}
regression code
results1 <- list()
results2 <- list()
initResults <- function(){
results1 <<- list()
results2 <<- list()
}
addToResults1 <- function(newresults){
results1[[length(results1)+1]] <<- newresults
}
addToResults2 <- function(newresults){
results2[[length(results2)+1]] <<- newresults
}
listtodf <- function(lst){
nr <- length(lst) # rows
if (nr==0) return(NULL)
nvek <- names(lst[[1]])
nc <- length(nvek) # columns
df <- data.frame(idx=1:nr) # preallocate length
for (i in 1:nc){
iname <- nvek[i]
df[[iname]] <- sapply(lst,`[[`,iname)
}
return(df)
}
getResults1 <- function(){
return(listtodf(results1))
}
getResults2 <- function(){
return(listtodf(results2))
}
getregdf <- function(df,vname,discdate,befdays,aftdays,dates){
# filter on time
sregdate <- discdate - days(befdays)
eregdate <- discdate + days(aftdays)
df <- df %>% filter( sregdate <= dt & dt <= eregdate)
df <- df %>% mutate( hour=as.factor(hour(dt)) ) %>%
mutate( dow=as.factor(wday(dt))) %>%
mutate( idx=1:nrow(df) )
# add level variables
cutidx <- which(df$dt==discdate)
df <- df %>% mutate( lin1=if_else(idx<cutidx,idx-cutidx,0L)) %>%
mutate( lin2=if_else(idx<cutidx,0L,idx-cutidx)) %>%
mutate( lin0=1 ) %>%
mutate( postchange=if_else(idx<cutidx,0L,1L) )
return(df)
}
formlist = list(
formel1="%s ~ hour + dow + lin1 + lin2 + postchange",
formel2a="%s ~ hour * dow - 1",
formel2aa="%s ~ hour + dow",
formel2b="%s ~ lin1 + lin2 + postchange"
# formel2b="%s ~ lin0 + postchange"
)
doregression <- function(df,vname,formel,chgdate,befdays,aftdays){
df <- getregdf(df,vname,chgdate,befdays,aftdays,dates)
formstr <- sprintf(formlist[[formel]],vname)
form <- as.formula(formstr)
fit <- glm(form,data=df)
summary_fit <- summary(fit)
coeftest_fit <- coeftest(fit, vcov = vcovHC(fit, "HC1"))
if (verbose>0){
print(summary_fit)
print(coeftest_fit)
}
df$resid <- resid(fit)
df$predicted <- df[[vname]]-df$resid
# for debugging
ffit <<- fit
sfit <<- summary_fit
cfit <<- coeftest_fit
return(list(df=df,formstr=formstr,fit=fit,sfit=summary_fit,cfit=coeftest_fit))
}
regress1 <- function(df,vname,area,backg,dates,chgdate,mtit1,befdays=7,aftdays=7,model="model1"){
crk <- crackdate(chgdate)
idx <- length(results1)+1
print(sprintf("%d Regression for %s %s on %s",idx,vname,model,chgdate))
rv <- doregression(df,vname,"formel1",crk$date,befdays,aftdays)
if (verbose>0){
df1 <- rv$df %>% gather_("series",vname,c(vname,"predicted"))
mtit <- sprintf("%d - %s - %s",idx,mtit1,rv$formstr)
plt <- dailyplot(df1,"dt",vname,series="series",mtit,ylab="Sum",
vlines=dates,backg=backg,ovsdate=min(df1$dt),ovedate=max(df1$dt))
print(plt)
mtit <- sprintf("%d - Residuals - %s - %s",idx,mtit1,rv$formstr)
plt <- residplot(df1,"dt","resid",mtit,ylab="Sum",
vlines=dates,backg=backg,ovsdate=min(df1$dt),ovedate=max(df1$dt))
}
newresults <- list(var=vname,
title=mtit1,
chgDate=crk$sdate,
chgVal=crk$sval,
model=model,
formula=rv$formstr,
chgCoef.fit=rv$fit$coefficients["postchange"],
chgCoef.smry=rv$sfit$coefficients["postchange",1],
chgStd.smry=rv$sfit$coefficients["postchange",2],
chgTval.smry=rv$sfit$coefficients["postchange",3],
chgPval.smry=rv$sfit$coefficients["postchange",4],
chgZval.cfit=rv2$cfit["postchange","z value"],
chgPval.cfit=rv2$cfit["postchange","Pr(>|z|)"]
)
addToResults1(newresults)
}
regress2 <- function(df,vname,area,backg,dates,chgdate,mtit1,befdays=7,aftdays=7,model="model2c"){
crk <- crackdate(chgdate)
idx <- length(results1)+1
print(sprintf("%d Regression for %s %s on %s",idx,vname,model,chgdate))
# step 1
rv1 <- doregression(df,vname,"formel2aa",crk$date,befdays,aftdays)
if (verbose>0){
df1 <- rv1$df %>% gather_("series",vname,c(vname,"predicted"))
mtit <- sprintf("%d - %s - %s",idx,mtit1,rv1$formstr)
plt <- dailyplot(df1,"dt",vname,series="series",mtit,ylab="Sum",
vlines=dates,backg=backg,ovsdate=min(df1$dt),ovedate=max(df1$dt))
print(plt)
mtit <- sprintf("%d - Step 1 Residuals - %s - %s",idx,mtit1,rv1$formstr)
plt <- residplot(df1,"dt","resid",mtit,ylab="Sum",
vlines=dates,backg=backg,ovsdate=min(df1$dt),ovedate=max(df1$dt))
}
newresults <- list(var=vname,
title=mtit1,
chgDate=crk$sdate,
chgVal=crk$sval,
model=model,
formula=rv1$formstr,
aic=rv1$fit$aic,
deviance=rv1$fit$dev
)
addToResults1(newresults)
# step 2
df2 <- rv1$df
df2$step1residuals <- rv1$fit$residuals
vname2 <- "step1residuals"
rv2 <- doregression(df2,vname2,"formel2b",crk$date,7,7)
if (verbose>0){
df1 <- rv2$df %>% gather_("series",vname2,c(vname2,"predicted"))
mtit <- sprintf("%d - %s - %s",idx,mtit1,rv2$formstr)
plt <- dailyplot(df1,"dt",vname2,series="series",mtit,ylab="Sum",
vlines=dates,backg=backg,ovsdate=min(df1$dt),ovedate=max(df1$dt))
print(plt)
mtit <- sprintf("%d - Step 2 Residuals - %s - %s",idx,mtit1,rv2$formstr)
plt <- residplot(df1,"dt","resid",mtit,ylab="Sum",
vlines=dates,backg=backg,ovsdate=min(df1$dt),ovedate=max(df1$dt))
}
newresults <- list(var=vname,
title=mtit1,
chgDate=crk$sdate,
chgVal=crk$sval,
model=model,
formula=rv2$formstr,
chgCoef.fit=rv2$fit$coefficients["postchange"],
chgCoef.smry=rv2$sfit$coefficients["postchange",1],
chgStd.smry=rv2$sfit$coefficients["postchange",2],
chgTval.smry=rv2$sfit$coefficients["postchange",3],
chgPval.smry=rv2$sfit$coefficients["postchange",4],
chgZval.cfit=rv2$cfit["postchange","z value"],
chgPval.cfit=rv2$cfit["postchange","Pr(>|z|)"]
)
addToResults2(newresults)
}
regressoverdates <- function(model,df,vname,area,title,befdays=7,aftdays=7){
if (model=="model2" & grepl("^log",vname)) return(NULL) # model2 is pointless for logs
if (area=="SMC"){
dates <- smcdates
backg <- smcback
} else {
dates <- xbxdates
backg <- xbxback
}
atit <- sprintf("%s - %s",area,title)
for (chgdate in dates){
if (model=="model1"){
regress1(condf,vname,area,backg,dates,chgdate,atit,befdays=7,aftdays=7)
} else {
regress2(condf,vname,area,backg,dates,chgdate,atit,befdays=7,aftdays=7)
}
}
}initResults()
justdoone <- F # for testing
verbose <- 2
m <- "model2"
if (justdoone){
regressoverdates(m,condf,"winchib","SMC","Hourly Chats")
# regressoverdates(m,condf,"winchib","Xbox","Hourly Chats")
} else {
regressoverdates(m,condf,"winchib","SMC","Hourly Chats")
regressoverdates(m,condf,"log_winchib","SMC","log(Hourly Chats)")
regressoverdates(m,condf,"rate_winchib","SMC","Hourly Chat Rate per Session")
regressoverdates(m,condf,"wincall","SMC","Hourly Chats")
regressoverdates(m,condf,"log_wincall","SMC","log(Hourly Chats)")
regressoverdates(m,condf,"rate_wincall","SMC","Hourly Chat Rate per Session")
regressoverdates(m,condf,"xbxchib","Xbox","Hourly Chats")
regressoverdates(m,condf,"log_xbxchib","Xbox","log(Hourly Chats)")
regressoverdates(m,condf,"rate_xbxchib","Xbox","Hourly Chat Rate per Session")
regressoverdates(m,condf,"xbxcall","Xbox","Hourly Chats")
regressoverdates(m,condf,"log_xbxcall","Xbox","log(Hourly Chats)")
regressoverdates(m,condf,"rate_xbxcall","Xbox","Hourly Chat Rate per Session")
}## [1] "1 Regression for winchib model2c on 2016-08-17/red/0-30%"
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -194.26 -27.77 -1.19 31.93 110.49
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 315.520 13.553 23.280 < 2e-16 ***
## hour1 -35.223 17.281 -2.038 0.042387 *
## hour2 -76.366 17.281 -4.419 1.38e-05 ***
## hour3 -101.223 17.281 -5.857 1.21e-08 ***
## hour4 -120.937 17.281 -6.998 1.64e-11 ***
## hour5 -159.937 17.281 -9.255 < 2e-16 ***
## hour6 -186.366 17.281 -10.784 < 2e-16 ***
## hour7 -193.509 17.281 -11.197 < 2e-16 ***
## hour8 -195.152 17.281 -11.293 < 2e-16 ***
## hour9 -202.294 17.281 -11.706 < 2e-16 ***
## hour10 -203.580 17.281 -11.780 < 2e-16 ***
## hour11 -155.866 17.281 -9.019 < 2e-16 ***
## hour12 -99.009 17.281 -5.729 2.41e-08 ***
## hour13 -43.437 17.281 -2.514 0.012465 *
## hour14 38.206 17.281 2.211 0.027788 *
## hour15 30.706 17.281 1.777 0.076594 .
## hour16 60.634 17.281 3.509 0.000518 ***
## hour17 88.706 17.281 5.133 5.07e-07 ***
## hour18 96.348 17.281 5.575 5.42e-08 ***
## hour19 40.563 17.281 2.347 0.019552 *
## hour20 10.634 17.281 0.615 0.538783
## hour21 4.491 17.281 0.260 0.795126
## hour22 31.063 17.281 1.797 0.073247 .
## hour23 -1.437 17.281 -0.083 0.933768
## dow2 74.250 9.490 7.824 8.31e-14 ***
## dow3 98.000 9.490 10.327 < 2e-16 ***
## dow4 108.357 9.444 11.473 < 2e-16 ***
## dow5 67.563 9.490 7.119 7.72e-12 ***
## dow6 43.062 9.490 4.538 8.17e-06 ***
## dow7 -9.812 9.490 -1.034 0.301955
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 2161.416)
##
## Null deviance: 4550168 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 663555 on 307 degrees of freedom
## AIC: 3574.6
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 315.5203 13.1727 23.9526 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour1 -35.2231 17.2966 -2.0364 0.041709 *
## hour2 -76.3659 18.4023 -4.1498 3.328e-05 ***
## hour3 -101.2231 16.3329 -6.1975 5.737e-10 ***
## hour4 -120.9374 14.7398 -8.2048 2.310e-16 ***
## hour5 -159.9374 14.8951 -10.7376 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour6 -186.3659 18.2887 -10.1902 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour7 -193.5088 22.3161 -8.6712 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour8 -195.1516 17.0854 -11.4221 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour9 -202.2945 13.9144 -14.5385 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour10 -203.5802 14.2608 -14.2755 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour11 -155.8659 13.9912 -11.1403 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour12 -99.0088 12.6895 -7.8024 6.074e-15 ***
## hour13 -43.4374 15.3326 -2.8330 0.004611 **
## hour14 38.2055 18.0979 2.1110 0.034768 *
## hour15 30.7055 20.7421 1.4803 0.138781
## hour16 60.6341 15.4081 3.9352 8.312e-05 ***
## hour17 88.7055 20.0789 4.4178 9.969e-06 ***
## hour18 96.3484 17.9696 5.3618 8.242e-08 ***
## hour19 40.5626 18.4752 2.1955 0.028126 *
## hour20 10.6341 17.4406 0.6097 0.542040
## hour21 4.4912 19.1020 0.2351 0.814117
## hour22 31.0626 17.6692 1.7580 0.078746 .
## hour23 -1.4374 13.8910 -0.1035 0.917587
## dow2 74.2500 10.5547 7.0348 1.995e-12 ***
## dow3 98.0000 8.6167 11.3733 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow4 108.3567 9.8739 10.9740 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow5 67.5625 8.5319 7.9188 2.399e-15 ***
## dow6 43.0625 8.4897 5.0723 3.930e-07 ***
## dow7 -9.8125 11.5368 -0.8505 0.395025
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -188.27 -26.72 -0.82 30.42 104.31
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) -10.66729 6.87059 -1.553 0.121
## lin1 -0.11394 0.07052 -1.616 0.107
## lin2 0.09631 0.06989 1.378 0.169
## postchange 3.60991 9.65933 0.374 0.709
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 1964.961)
##
## Null deviance: 663555 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 654332 on 333 degrees of freedom
## AIC: 3517.9
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) -10.667289 7.851414 -1.3586 0.17426
## lin1 -0.113944 0.075287 -1.5135 0.13016
## lin2 0.096313 0.056630 1.7008 0.08899 .
## postchange 3.609910 9.569332 0.3772 0.70600
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## [1] "2 Regression for winchib model2c on 2016-09-1/red/30-50%"
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -222.590 -25.908 0.954 27.259 83.125
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 309.0282 11.9855 25.784 < 2e-16 ***
## hour1 0.7221 15.2827 0.047 0.962345
## hour2 -47.2065 15.2827 -3.089 0.002193 **
## hour3 -99.8493 15.2827 -6.534 2.67e-10 ***
## hour4 -119.9922 15.2827 -7.852 6.93e-14 ***
## hour5 -151.2065 15.2827 -9.894 < 2e-16 ***
## hour6 -175.8493 15.2827 -11.506 < 2e-16 ***
## hour7 -181.0636 15.2827 -11.848 < 2e-16 ***
## hour8 -183.2779 15.2827 -11.993 < 2e-16 ***
## hour9 -205.4208 15.2827 -13.441 < 2e-16 ***
## hour10 -183.7065 15.2827 -12.021 < 2e-16 ***
## hour11 -153.9208 15.2827 -10.072 < 2e-16 ***
## hour12 -77.1351 15.2827 -5.047 7.69e-07 ***
## hour13 -13.8493 15.2827 -0.906 0.365534
## hour14 44.2221 15.2827 2.894 0.004081 **
## hour15 56.0078 15.2827 3.665 0.000292 ***
## hour16 61.6507 15.2827 4.034 6.93e-05 ***
## hour17 97.0792 15.2827 6.352 7.64e-10 ***
## hour18 97.9364 15.2827 6.408 5.53e-10 ***
## hour19 45.2221 15.2827 2.959 0.003326 **
## hour20 32.1507 15.2827 2.104 0.036215 *
## hour21 25.2935 15.2827 1.655 0.098937 .
## hour22 8.5792 15.2827 0.561 0.574955
## hour23 -5.0636 15.2827 -0.331 0.740620
## dow2 69.7292 8.3923 8.309 3.15e-15 ***
## dow3 72.6250 8.3923 8.654 2.85e-16 ***
## dow4 85.5625 8.3923 10.195 < 2e-16 ***
## dow5 91.0811 8.3521 10.905 < 2e-16 ***
## dow6 54.7708 8.3923 6.526 2.78e-10 ***
## dow7 -11.0208 8.3923 -1.313 0.190094
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 1690.34)
##
## Null deviance: 4246614 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 518934 on 307 degrees of freedom
## AIC: 3491.8
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 309.02823 11.25528 27.4563 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour1 0.72209 13.17371 0.0548 0.9562874
## hour2 -47.20648 15.64756 -3.0169 0.0025541 **
## hour3 -99.84934 13.51356 -7.3888 1.481e-13 ***
## hour4 -119.99219 13.53227 -8.8671 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour5 -151.20648 13.48824 -11.2102 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour6 -175.84934 14.09367 -12.4772 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour7 -181.06362 12.94573 -13.9864 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour8 -183.27791 12.95992 -14.1419 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour9 -205.42077 13.69590 -14.9987 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour10 -183.70648 13.81014 -13.3023 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour11 -153.92077 12.06867 -12.7537 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour12 -77.13505 11.33145 -6.8072 9.954e-12 ***
## hour13 -13.84934 12.20614 -1.1346 0.2565345
## hour14 44.22209 15.22184 2.9052 0.0036705 **
## hour15 56.00781 16.24107 3.4485 0.0005637 ***
## hour16 61.65066 13.02913 4.7318 2.226e-06 ***
## hour17 97.07923 15.53487 6.2491 4.128e-10 ***
## hour18 97.93638 14.48562 6.7609 1.371e-11 ***
## hour19 45.22209 14.46154 3.1271 0.0017656 **
## hour20 32.15066 18.17263 1.7692 0.0768638 .
## hour21 25.29352 18.77521 1.3472 0.1779235
## hour22 8.57923 15.04795 0.5701 0.5685919
## hour23 -5.06362 21.67395 -0.2336 0.8152745
## dow2 69.72917 7.79336 8.9473 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow3 72.62500 9.10873 7.9731 1.547e-15 ***
## dow4 85.56250 7.26739 11.7735 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow5 91.08106 8.01940 11.3576 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow6 54.77083 7.21107 7.5954 3.069e-14 ***
## dow7 -11.02083 9.55160 -1.1538 0.2485736
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -220.743 -25.763 2.223 25.617 84.395
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 4.74664 6.08677 0.780 0.436
## lin1 0.07913 0.06247 1.267 0.206
## lin2 -0.06399 0.06192 -1.033 0.302
## postchange 2.55692 8.55736 0.299 0.765
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 1542.199)
##
## Null deviance: 518934 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 513552 on 333 degrees of freedom
## AIC: 3436.2
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 4.746641 4.549205 1.0434 0.29676
## lin1 0.079134 0.046540 1.7003 0.08907 .
## lin2 -0.063987 0.069857 -0.9160 0.35968
## postchange 2.556921 7.725168 0.3310 0.74066
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## [1] "3 Regression for winchib model2c on 2016-09-07/red/50-100%"
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -208.801 -23.964 1.464 26.363 83.771
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 300.369 11.302 26.577 < 2e-16 ***
## hour1 7.071 14.411 0.491 0.624007
## hour2 -51.143 14.411 -3.549 0.000447 ***
## hour3 -92.858 14.411 -6.444 4.51e-10 ***
## hour4 -115.143 14.411 -7.990 2.75e-14 ***
## hour5 -155.715 14.411 -10.805 < 2e-16 ***
## hour6 -179.429 14.411 -12.451 < 2e-16 ***
## hour7 -188.572 14.411 -13.085 < 2e-16 ***
## hour8 -184.429 14.411 -12.798 < 2e-16 ***
## hour9 -196.858 14.411 -13.660 < 2e-16 ***
## hour10 -180.786 14.411 -12.545 < 2e-16 ***
## hour11 -149.715 14.411 -10.389 < 2e-16 ***
## hour12 -79.858 14.411 -5.541 6.46e-08 ***
## hour13 -12.429 14.411 -0.862 0.389101
## hour14 56.214 14.411 3.901 0.000118 ***
## hour15 65.071 14.411 4.515 9.02e-06 ***
## hour16 66.642 14.411 4.624 5.54e-06 ***
## hour17 106.357 14.411 7.380 1.49e-12 ***
## hour18 96.357 14.411 6.686 1.08e-10 ***
## hour19 44.928 14.411 3.118 0.001996 **
## hour20 40.785 14.411 2.830 0.004959 **
## hour21 34.500 14.411 2.394 0.017266 *
## hour22 23.857 14.411 1.655 0.098851 .
## hour23 -6.215 14.411 -0.431 0.666589
## dow2 59.563 7.914 7.527 5.82e-13 ***
## dow3 68.646 7.914 8.674 2.46e-16 ***
## dow4 90.625 7.876 11.507 < 2e-16 ***
## dow5 95.292 7.914 12.042 < 2e-16 ***
## dow6 60.167 7.914 7.603 3.55e-13 ***
## dow7 -2.875 7.914 -0.363 0.716630
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 1502.986)
##
## Null deviance: 4321974 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 461417 on 307 degrees of freedom
## AIC: 3452.2
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 300.3694 10.1497 29.5939 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour1 7.0710 11.8261 0.5979 0.5498945
## hour2 -51.1432 13.6974 -3.7338 0.0001886 ***
## hour3 -92.8575 11.3703 -8.1667 3.169e-16 ***
## hour4 -115.1432 11.9472 -9.6377 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour5 -155.7147 12.0199 -12.9548 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour6 -179.4290 13.2955 -13.4954 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour7 -188.5718 14.1546 -13.3223 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour8 -184.4290 11.8329 -15.5861 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour9 -196.8575 11.4235 -17.2327 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour10 -180.7861 12.5485 -14.4070 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour11 -149.7147 11.4620 -13.0619 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour12 -79.8575 11.6524 -6.8533 7.215e-12 ***
## hour13 -12.4290 11.3165 -1.0983 0.2720721
## hour14 56.2139 14.6461 3.8381 0.0001240 ***
## hour15 65.0710 13.9063 4.6793 2.879e-06 ***
## hour16 66.6425 12.2842 5.4251 5.793e-08 ***
## hour17 106.3568 14.2934 7.4410 9.993e-14 ***
## hour18 96.3568 14.7365 6.5386 6.208e-11 ***
## hour19 44.9282 13.7526 3.2669 0.0010874 **
## hour20 40.7853 16.0758 2.5371 0.0111786 *
## hour21 34.4996 16.2322 2.1254 0.0335545 *
## hour22 23.8568 14.8182 1.6100 0.1074058
## hour23 -6.2147 19.8169 -0.3136 0.7538207
## dow2 59.5625 6.8048 8.7530 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow3 68.6458 8.7517 7.8437 4.374e-15 ***
## dow4 90.6251 6.7297 13.4665 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow5 95.2917 7.8022 12.2134 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow6 60.1667 6.6020 9.1134 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow7 -2.8750 8.8986 -0.3231 0.7466315
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -212.757 -25.379 0.875 27.996 79.898
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 3.965423 5.747449 0.690 0.491
## lin1 0.009277 0.058992 0.157 0.875
## lin2 -0.015965 0.058469 -0.273 0.785
## postchange -5.787096 8.080309 -0.716 0.474
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 1375.043)
##
## Null deviance: 461417 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 457889 on 333 degrees of freedom
## AIC: 3397.6
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 3.9654232 7.9033773 0.5017 0.6159
## lin1 0.0092768 0.0721808 0.1285 0.8977
## lin2 -0.0159647 0.0485488 -0.3288 0.7423
## postchange -5.7870962 9.3365365 -0.6198 0.5354
## [1] "4 Regression for rate_winchib model2c on 2016-08-17/red/0-30%"
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.728e-03 -1.971e-04 -9.260e-06 2.225e-04 1.197e-03
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 4.240e-03 1.071e-04 39.595 < 2e-16 ***
## hour1 -3.475e-04 1.366e-04 -2.545 0.0114 *
## hour2 -5.469e-04 1.366e-04 -4.005 7.78e-05 ***
## hour3 -6.661e-04 1.366e-04 -4.878 1.72e-06 ***
## hour4 -6.951e-04 1.366e-04 -5.090 6.25e-07 ***
## hour5 -1.063e-03 1.366e-04 -7.787 1.06e-13 ***
## hour6 -1.453e-03 1.366e-04 -10.638 < 2e-16 ***
## hour7 -1.564e-03 1.366e-04 -11.455 < 2e-16 ***
## hour8 -1.589e-03 1.366e-04 -11.637 < 2e-16 ***
## hour9 -1.742e-03 1.366e-04 -12.754 < 2e-16 ***
## hour10 -1.928e-03 1.366e-04 -14.121 < 2e-16 ***
## hour11 -1.949e-03 1.366e-04 -14.274 < 2e-16 ***
## hour12 -2.010e-03 1.366e-04 -14.722 < 2e-16 ***
## hour13 -1.899e-03 1.366e-04 -13.911 < 2e-16 ***
## hour14 -1.530e-03 1.366e-04 -11.205 < 2e-16 ***
## hour15 -1.641e-03 1.366e-04 -12.019 < 2e-16 ***
## hour16 -1.268e-03 1.366e-04 -9.285 < 2e-16 ***
## hour17 -1.068e-03 1.366e-04 -7.819 8.62e-14 ***
## hour18 -9.498e-04 1.366e-04 -6.956 2.12e-11 ***
## hour19 -1.200e-03 1.366e-04 -8.790 < 2e-16 ***
## hour20 -1.197e-03 1.366e-04 -8.770 < 2e-16 ***
## hour21 -8.861e-04 1.366e-04 -6.490 3.45e-10 ***
## hour22 -1.456e-04 1.366e-04 -1.066 0.2870
## hour23 -9.847e-05 1.366e-04 -0.721 0.4714
## dow2 -9.256e-04 7.498e-05 -12.344 < 2e-16 ***
## dow3 -5.589e-04 7.498e-05 -7.454 9.31e-13 ***
## dow4 -4.348e-04 7.462e-05 -5.827 1.43e-08 ***
## dow5 -8.865e-04 7.498e-05 -11.823 < 2e-16 ***
## dow6 -7.431e-04 7.498e-05 -9.911 < 2e-16 ***
## dow7 -1.459e-04 7.498e-05 -1.945 0.0526 .
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 1.349366e-07)
##
## Null deviance: 2.0249e-04 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 4.1426e-05 on 307 degrees of freedom
## AIC: -4343.9
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 4.2401e-03 1.2502e-04 33.9162 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour1 -3.4745e-04 1.6008e-04 -2.1705 0.0299685 *
## hour2 -5.4691e-04 1.5146e-04 -3.6108 0.0003052 ***
## hour3 -6.6612e-04 1.2273e-04 -5.4274 5.719e-08 ***
## hour4 -6.9505e-04 1.4681e-04 -4.7343 2.198e-06 ***
## hour5 -1.0633e-03 1.1986e-04 -8.8708 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour6 -1.4526e-03 1.3886e-04 -10.4608 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour7 -1.5641e-03 1.9025e-04 -8.2213 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour8 -1.5890e-03 1.2861e-04 -12.3551 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour9 -1.7416e-03 1.1759e-04 -14.8107 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour10 -1.9281e-03 1.2701e-04 -15.1808 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour11 -1.9491e-03 1.2802e-04 -15.2254 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour12 -2.0103e-03 1.3610e-04 -14.7707 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour13 -1.8995e-03 1.6382e-04 -11.5952 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour14 -1.5300e-03 1.6271e-04 -9.4036 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour15 -1.6412e-03 1.2910e-04 -12.7126 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour16 -1.2678e-03 1.1230e-04 -11.2893 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour17 -1.0676e-03 1.3550e-04 -7.8790 3.299e-15 ***
## hour18 -9.4978e-04 1.3589e-04 -6.9895 2.758e-12 ***
## hour19 -1.2003e-03 1.1966e-04 -10.0310 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour20 -1.1975e-03 1.2578e-04 -9.5202 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour21 -8.8612e-04 1.6095e-04 -5.5058 3.676e-08 ***
## hour22 -1.4563e-04 1.6741e-04 -0.8698 0.3843832
## hour23 -9.8472e-05 1.4981e-04 -0.6573 0.5109893
## dow2 -9.2556e-04 9.6402e-05 -9.6010 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow3 -5.5891e-04 8.0319e-05 -6.9586 3.437e-12 ***
## dow4 -4.3481e-04 8.2618e-05 -5.2629 1.418e-07 ***
## dow5 -8.8654e-04 8.3923e-05 -10.5637 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow6 -7.4313e-04 8.5198e-05 -8.7223 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow7 -1.4587e-04 1.0095e-04 -1.4449 0.1484731
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.667e-03 -2.078e-04 -1.730e-06 2.158e-04 1.253e-03
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) -7.108e-05 5.408e-05 -1.314 0.190
## lin1 -2.458e-07 5.551e-07 -0.443 0.658
## lin2 1.393e-07 5.502e-07 0.253 0.800
## postchange 1.094e-04 7.604e-05 1.439 0.151
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 1.217596e-07)
##
## Null deviance: 4.1426e-05 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 4.0546e-05 on 333 degrees of freedom
## AIC: -4403.1
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) -7.1078e-05 5.9081e-05 -1.2031 0.2290
## lin1 -2.4578e-07 5.0454e-07 -0.4871 0.6262
## lin2 1.3934e-07 4.4023e-07 0.3165 0.7516
## postchange 1.0938e-04 7.3513e-05 1.4880 0.1368
## [1] "5 Regression for rate_winchib model2c on 2016-09-1/red/30-50%"
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.073e-03 -2.293e-04 -2.926e-05 2.023e-04 1.265e-03
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 4.318e-03 1.148e-04 37.612 < 2e-16 ***
## hour1 -3.574e-05 1.464e-04 -0.244 0.8073
## hour2 -3.356e-04 1.464e-04 -2.293 0.0225 *
## hour3 -7.401e-04 1.464e-04 -5.056 7.39e-07 ***
## hour4 -7.891e-04 1.464e-04 -5.390 1.41e-07 ***
## hour5 -1.067e-03 1.464e-04 -7.286 2.72e-12 ***
## hour6 -1.475e-03 1.464e-04 -10.075 < 2e-16 ***
## hour7 -1.602e-03 1.464e-04 -10.941 < 2e-16 ***
## hour8 -1.613e-03 1.464e-04 -11.018 < 2e-16 ***
## hour9 -1.891e-03 1.464e-04 -12.917 < 2e-16 ***
## hour10 -1.828e-03 1.464e-04 -12.487 < 2e-16 ***
## hour11 -1.997e-03 1.464e-04 -13.643 < 2e-16 ***
## hour12 -1.902e-03 1.464e-04 -12.991 < 2e-16 ***
## hour13 -1.745e-03 1.464e-04 -11.919 < 2e-16 ***
## hour14 -1.549e-03 1.464e-04 -10.583 < 2e-16 ***
## hour15 -1.497e-03 1.464e-04 -10.228 < 2e-16 ***
## hour16 -1.267e-03 1.464e-04 -8.653 2.86e-16 ***
## hour17 -9.958e-04 1.464e-04 -6.802 5.40e-11 ***
## hour18 -9.030e-04 1.464e-04 -6.168 2.18e-09 ***
## hour19 -1.133e-03 1.464e-04 -7.742 1.43e-13 ***
## hour20 -1.034e-03 1.464e-04 -7.061 1.11e-11 ***
## hour21 -6.774e-04 1.464e-04 -4.627 5.48e-06 ***
## hour22 -1.355e-04 1.464e-04 -0.926 0.3552
## hour23 3.593e-05 1.464e-04 0.245 0.8063
## dow2 -5.710e-04 8.039e-05 -7.102 8.59e-12 ***
## dow3 -8.410e-04 8.039e-05 -10.461 < 2e-16 ***
## dow4 -6.460e-04 8.039e-05 -8.035 2.02e-14 ***
## dow5 -8.429e-04 8.001e-05 -10.536 < 2e-16 ***
## dow6 -7.870e-04 8.039e-05 -9.790 < 2e-16 ***
## dow7 -1.735e-04 8.039e-05 -2.158 0.0317 *
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 1.551134e-07)
##
## Null deviance: 2.163e-04 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 4.762e-05 on 307 degrees of freedom
## AIC: -4296.9
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 4.3183e-03 1.1540e-04 37.4216 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour1 -3.5740e-05 1.3255e-04 -0.2696 0.7874376
## hour2 -3.3565e-04 1.3780e-04 -2.4357 0.0148613 *
## hour3 -7.4013e-04 1.3517e-04 -5.4754 4.364e-08 ***
## hour4 -7.8907e-04 1.5567e-04 -5.0690 3.999e-07 ***
## hour5 -1.0666e-03 1.2958e-04 -8.2315 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour6 -1.4750e-03 1.1474e-04 -12.8553 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour7 -1.6018e-03 1.1314e-04 -14.1582 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour8 -1.6130e-03 1.1585e-04 -13.9227 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour9 -1.8911e-03 1.0901e-04 -17.3482 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour10 -1.8281e-03 1.1797e-04 -15.4955 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour11 -1.9973e-03 1.3338e-04 -14.9754 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour12 -1.9019e-03 1.7101e-04 -11.1212 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour13 -1.7450e-03 1.8354e-04 -9.5071 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour14 -1.5494e-03 1.6432e-04 -9.4294 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour15 -1.4973e-03 1.5104e-04 -9.9130 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour16 -1.2668e-03 1.4879e-04 -8.5138 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour17 -9.9580e-04 1.5163e-04 -6.5674 5.122e-11 ***
## hour18 -9.0296e-04 1.6957e-04 -5.3250 1.010e-07 ***
## hour19 -1.1335e-03 1.3481e-04 -8.4078 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour20 -1.0337e-03 1.4497e-04 -7.1302 1.003e-12 ***
## hour21 -6.7737e-04 1.8069e-04 -3.7488 0.0001777 ***
## hour22 -1.3555e-04 1.5898e-04 -0.8526 0.3938667
## hour23 3.5929e-05 1.4252e-04 0.2521 0.8009665
## dow2 -5.7097e-04 1.1065e-04 -5.1603 2.466e-07 ***
## dow3 -8.4100e-04 7.6303e-05 -11.0219 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow4 -6.4600e-04 6.5011e-05 -9.9368 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow5 -8.4295e-04 7.0250e-05 -11.9993 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow6 -7.8705e-04 7.3057e-05 -10.7730 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow7 -1.7350e-04 8.3077e-05 -2.0884 0.0367614 *
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.053e-03 -2.279e-04 -1.363e-05 2.088e-04 1.177e-03
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) -8.180e-05 5.719e-05 -1.430 0.1536
## lin1 2.937e-09 5.870e-07 0.005 0.9960
## lin2 2.397e-07 5.818e-07 0.412 0.6806
## postchange 1.432e-04 8.041e-05 1.781 0.0758 .
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 1.361603e-07)
##
## Null deviance: 4.7620e-05 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 4.5341e-05 on 333 degrees of freedom
## AIC: -4365.4
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) -8.1802e-05 4.5008e-05 -1.8175 0.06914 .
## lin1 2.9370e-09 4.0498e-07 0.0073 0.99421
## lin2 2.3971e-07 5.1433e-07 0.4661 0.64116
## postchange 1.4323e-04 6.5115e-05 2.1996 0.02783 *
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## [1] "6 Regression for rate_winchib model2c on 2016-09-07/red/50-100%"
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -0.0010797 -0.0002476 -0.0000230 0.0001990 0.0013280
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 4.308e-03 1.171e-04 36.798 < 2e-16 ***
## hour1 8.087e-05 1.493e-04 0.542 0.588335
## hour2 -3.801e-04 1.493e-04 -2.546 0.011377 *
## hour3 -6.434e-04 1.493e-04 -4.311 2.20e-05 ***
## hour4 -6.939e-04 1.493e-04 -4.649 4.97e-06 ***
## hour5 -1.109e-03 1.493e-04 -7.427 1.11e-12 ***
## hour6 -1.514e-03 1.493e-04 -10.146 < 2e-16 ***
## hour7 -1.666e-03 1.493e-04 -11.164 < 2e-16 ***
## hour8 -1.630e-03 1.493e-04 -10.923 < 2e-16 ***
## hour9 -1.813e-03 1.493e-04 -12.149 < 2e-16 ***
## hour10 -1.778e-03 1.493e-04 -11.912 < 2e-16 ***
## hour11 -1.937e-03 1.493e-04 -12.977 < 2e-16 ***
## hour12 -1.880e-03 1.493e-04 -12.593 < 2e-16 ***
## hour13 -1.738e-03 1.493e-04 -11.641 < 2e-16 ***
## hour14 -1.456e-03 1.493e-04 -9.754 < 2e-16 ***
## hour15 -1.391e-03 1.493e-04 -9.316 < 2e-16 ***
## hour16 -1.186e-03 1.493e-04 -7.947 3.66e-14 ***
## hour17 -9.013e-04 1.493e-04 -6.038 4.49e-09 ***
## hour18 -8.921e-04 1.493e-04 -5.977 6.31e-09 ***
## hour19 -1.113e-03 1.493e-04 -7.455 9.21e-13 ***
## hour20 -9.489e-04 1.493e-04 -6.357 7.42e-10 ***
## hour21 -5.708e-04 1.493e-04 -3.824 0.000159 ***
## hour22 3.409e-06 1.493e-04 0.023 0.981793
## hour23 2.469e-05 1.493e-04 0.165 0.868723
## dow2 -6.447e-04 8.197e-05 -7.866 6.31e-14 ***
## dow3 -9.506e-04 8.197e-05 -11.598 < 2e-16 ***
## dow4 -6.840e-04 8.157e-05 -8.385 1.86e-15 ***
## dow5 -7.634e-04 8.197e-05 -9.313 < 2e-16 ***
## dow6 -8.403e-04 8.197e-05 -10.251 < 2e-16 ***
## dow7 -1.646e-04 8.197e-05 -2.008 0.045479 *
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 1.612434e-07)
##
## Null deviance: 2.2662e-04 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 4.9502e-05 on 307 degrees of freedom
## AIC: -4283.9
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 4.3076e-03 1.0979e-04 39.2349 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour1 8.0874e-05 1.2687e-04 0.6374 0.5238331
## hour2 -3.8006e-04 1.3434e-04 -2.8292 0.0046665 **
## hour3 -6.4342e-04 1.2928e-04 -4.9771 6.455e-07 ***
## hour4 -6.9388e-04 1.3480e-04 -5.1476 2.638e-07 ***
## hour5 -1.1086e-03 1.2733e-04 -8.7064 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour6 -1.5144e-03 1.1049e-04 -13.7064 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour7 -1.6664e-03 1.1583e-04 -14.3865 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour8 -1.6303e-03 1.1508e-04 -14.1674 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour9 -1.8134e-03 1.0416e-04 -17.4091 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour10 -1.7780e-03 1.0898e-04 -16.3158 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour11 -1.9370e-03 1.1913e-04 -16.2598 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour12 -1.8797e-03 1.6600e-04 -11.3237 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour13 -1.7376e-03 1.6061e-04 -10.8192 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour14 -1.4560e-03 1.6429e-04 -8.8620 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour15 -1.3906e-03 1.5494e-04 -8.9751 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour16 -1.1862e-03 1.6231e-04 -7.3081 2.709e-13 ***
## hour17 -9.0132e-04 1.6017e-04 -5.6273 1.830e-08 ***
## hour18 -8.9210e-04 1.7569e-04 -5.0777 3.821e-07 ***
## hour19 -1.1128e-03 1.3934e-04 -7.9865 1.389e-15 ***
## hour20 -9.4892e-04 1.4097e-04 -6.7315 1.679e-11 ***
## hour21 -5.7079e-04 1.6863e-04 -3.3848 0.0007124 ***
## hour22 3.4091e-06 1.5989e-04 0.0213 0.9829893
## hour23 2.4691e-05 1.5822e-04 0.1561 0.8759898
## dow2 -6.4472e-04 1.1046e-04 -5.8369 5.318e-09 ***
## dow3 -9.5062e-04 7.0346e-05 -13.5135 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow4 -6.8402e-04 6.1946e-05 -11.0422 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow5 -7.6337e-04 6.7938e-05 -11.2363 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow6 -8.4026e-04 7.4674e-05 -11.2524 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow7 -1.6462e-04 8.4743e-05 -1.9426 0.0520686 .
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -0.0011584 -0.0002256 -0.0000182 0.0002094 0.0011827
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 1.897e-04 5.778e-05 3.282 0.00114 **
## lin1 1.480e-06 5.931e-07 2.495 0.01307 *
## lin2 -1.546e-06 5.878e-07 -2.630 0.00892 **
## postchange -1.240e-04 8.123e-05 -1.526 0.12785
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 1.389687e-07)
##
## Null deviance: 4.9502e-05 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 4.6277e-05 on 333 degrees of freedom
## AIC: -4358.6
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 1.8965e-04 7.2560e-05 2.6137 0.008956 **
## lin1 1.4798e-06 6.1047e-07 2.4241 0.015348 *
## lin2 -1.5462e-06 4.8246e-07 -3.2048 0.001352 **
## postchange -1.2399e-04 8.3741e-05 -1.4807 0.138688
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## [1] "7 Regression for wincall model2c on 2016-08-17/red/0-30%"
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -168.176 -36.998 -3.197 42.690 147.592
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 305.68 18.77 16.290 < 2e-16 ***
## hour1 -65.56 23.93 -2.740 0.00651 **
## hour2 -145.06 23.93 -6.062 3.93e-09 ***
## hour3 -209.27 23.93 -8.746 < 2e-16 ***
## hour4 -284.49 23.93 -11.889 < 2e-16 ***
## hour5 -325.56 23.93 -13.606 < 2e-16 ***
## hour6 -355.20 23.93 -14.845 < 2e-16 ***
## hour7 -370.27 23.93 -15.475 < 2e-16 ***
## hour8 -381.84 23.93 -15.958 < 2e-16 ***
## hour9 -383.34 23.93 -16.021 < 2e-16 ***
## hour10 -368.91 23.93 -15.418 < 2e-16 ***
## hour11 -322.06 23.93 -13.460 < 2e-16 ***
## hour12 -200.63 23.93 -8.385 1.86e-15 ***
## hour13 -29.84 23.93 -1.247 0.21327
## hour14 71.66 23.93 2.995 0.00297 **
## hour15 176.30 23.93 7.368 1.61e-12 ***
## hour16 208.94 23.93 8.732 < 2e-16 ***
## hour17 245.01 23.93 10.240 < 2e-16 ***
## hour18 290.87 23.93 12.156 < 2e-16 ***
## hour19 286.73 23.93 11.983 < 2e-16 ***
## hour20 252.23 23.93 10.541 < 2e-16 ***
## hour21 194.59 23.93 8.132 1.05e-14 ***
## hour22 130.51 23.93 5.455 1.01e-07 ***
## hour23 74.87 23.93 3.129 0.00192 **
## dow2 147.52 13.14 11.227 < 2e-16 ***
## dow3 172.42 13.14 13.122 < 2e-16 ***
## dow4 162.52 13.08 12.428 < 2e-16 ***
## dow5 169.69 13.14 12.914 < 2e-16 ***
## dow6 146.37 13.14 11.140 < 2e-16 ***
## dow7 62.63 13.14 4.766 2.90e-06 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 4143.579)
##
## Null deviance: 22539371 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 1272079 on 307 degrees of freedom
## AIC: 3793.9
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 305.680 21.170 14.4395 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour1 -65.557 21.622 -3.0319 0.002430 **
## hour2 -145.057 22.146 -6.5502 5.746e-11 ***
## hour3 -209.272 23.182 -9.0273 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour4 -284.486 23.397 -12.1591 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour5 -325.557 22.917 -14.2060 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour6 -355.200 23.803 -14.9223 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour7 -370.272 24.963 -14.8329 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour8 -381.843 23.764 -16.0679 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour9 -383.343 23.581 -16.2565 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour10 -368.915 23.229 -15.8815 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour11 -322.057 21.688 -14.8494 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour12 -200.629 18.764 -10.6921 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour13 -29.843 21.715 -1.3743 0.169341
## hour14 71.657 23.872 3.0017 0.002685 **
## hour15 176.300 27.581 6.3922 1.635e-10 ***
## hour16 208.943 27.527 7.5903 3.190e-14 ***
## hour17 245.014 24.410 10.0376 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour18 290.871 30.209 9.6286 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour19 286.728 26.614 10.7734 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour20 252.228 29.297 8.6094 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour21 194.585 23.955 8.1231 4.544e-16 ***
## hour22 130.514 22.737 5.7401 9.460e-09 ***
## hour23 74.871 19.642 3.8118 0.000138 ***
## dow2 147.521 18.355 8.0369 9.212e-16 ***
## dow3 172.417 16.333 10.5562 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow4 162.517 16.012 10.1497 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow5 169.688 16.145 10.5100 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow6 146.375 15.649 9.3535 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow7 62.625 19.462 3.2178 0.001292 **
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -160.035 -37.021 1.096 44.614 155.968
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 9.66297 9.49595 1.018 0.310
## lin1 0.01872 0.09747 0.192 0.848
## lin2 -0.01804 0.09660 -0.187 0.852
## postchange -16.18079 13.35030 -1.212 0.226
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 3753.552)
##
## Null deviance: 1272079 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 1249933 on 333 degrees of freedom
## AIC: 3736
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 9.662965 9.289869 1.0402 0.2983
## lin1 0.018722 0.076152 0.2459 0.8058
## lin2 -0.018039 0.072759 -0.2479 0.8042
## postchange -16.180786 10.835204 -1.4934 0.1353
## [1] "8 Regression for wincall model2c on 2016-09-1/red/30-50%"
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -179.595 -45.163 -3.702 52.298 183.226
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 314.17 20.76 15.134 < 2e-16 ***
## hour1 -80.36 26.47 -3.036 0.002605 **
## hour2 -152.93 26.47 -5.777 1.86e-08 ***
## hour3 -220.64 26.47 -8.336 2.62e-15 ***
## hour4 -283.14 26.47 -10.697 < 2e-16 ***
## hour5 -323.36 26.47 -12.216 < 2e-16 ***
## hour6 -349.86 26.47 -13.217 < 2e-16 ***
## hour7 -367.71 26.47 -13.892 < 2e-16 ***
## hour8 -379.14 26.47 -14.324 < 2e-16 ***
## hour9 -374.78 26.47 -14.159 < 2e-16 ***
## hour10 -368.43 26.47 -13.919 < 2e-16 ***
## hour11 -328.43 26.47 -12.408 < 2e-16 ***
## hour12 -224.43 26.47 -8.479 9.72e-16 ***
## hour13 -66.71 26.47 -2.520 0.012231 *
## hour14 32.64 26.47 1.233 0.218421
## hour15 97.93 26.47 3.700 0.000256 ***
## hour16 143.57 26.47 5.424 1.18e-07 ***
## hour17 177.14 26.47 6.692 1.04e-10 ***
## hour18 233.57 26.47 8.824 < 2e-16 ***
## hour19 213.43 26.47 8.063 1.68e-14 ***
## hour20 205.64 26.47 7.769 1.20e-13 ***
## hour21 172.43 26.47 6.514 2.99e-10 ***
## hour22 90.36 26.47 3.414 0.000727 ***
## hour23 46.22 26.47 1.746 0.081815 .
## dow2 95.25 14.54 6.553 2.38e-10 ***
## dow3 150.44 14.54 10.350 < 2e-16 ***
## dow4 149.35 14.54 10.275 < 2e-16 ***
## dow5 150.85 14.47 10.428 < 2e-16 ***
## dow6 137.42 14.54 9.454 < 2e-16 ***
## dow7 48.52 14.54 3.338 0.000947 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 5070.812)
##
## Null deviance: 18896875 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 1556739 on 307 degrees of freedom
## AIC: 3862
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 314.165 20.292 15.4819 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour1 -80.356 20.859 -3.8523 0.0001170 ***
## hour2 -152.927 21.969 -6.9611 3.376e-12 ***
## hour3 -220.641 22.215 -9.9321 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour4 -283.141 22.058 -12.8363 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour5 -323.356 23.462 -13.7824 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour6 -349.856 23.494 -14.8914 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour7 -367.713 22.976 -16.0043 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour8 -379.141 22.592 -16.7820 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour9 -374.784 22.239 -16.8524 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour10 -368.427 22.027 -16.7259 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour11 -328.427 20.916 -15.7021 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour12 -224.427 20.059 -11.1881 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour13 -66.713 21.529 -3.0987 0.0019436 **
## hour14 32.644 25.723 1.2691 0.2044198
## hour15 97.930 28.180 3.4751 0.0005106 ***
## hour16 143.573 29.023 4.9468 7.545e-07 ***
## hour17 177.144 28.474 6.2213 4.931e-10 ***
## hour18 233.573 29.817 7.8335 4.745e-15 ***
## hour19 213.430 33.258 6.4174 1.386e-10 ***
## hour20 205.644 33.929 6.0610 1.353e-09 ***
## hour21 172.430 30.103 5.7281 1.016e-08 ***
## hour22 90.359 28.383 3.1835 0.0014551 **
## hour23 46.216 24.265 1.9046 0.0568340 .
## dow2 95.250 19.914 4.7831 1.726e-06 ***
## dow3 150.437 17.306 8.6929 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow4 149.354 15.053 9.9221 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow5 150.854 14.784 10.2040 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow6 137.417 15.219 9.0294 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow7 48.521 17.127 2.8331 0.0046103 **
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -161.724 -49.937 -1.773 44.686 162.767
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 25.63804 10.22378 2.508 0.0126 *
## lin1 0.09905 0.10494 0.944 0.3459
## lin2 -0.10081 0.10401 -0.969 0.3331
## postchange -34.33582 14.37356 -2.389 0.0175 *
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 4350.998)
##
## Null deviance: 1556739 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 1448882 on 333 degrees of freedom
## AIC: 3785.8
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 25.638038 9.716927 2.6385 0.008328 **
## lin1 0.099055 0.085114 1.1638 0.244508
## lin2 -0.100809 0.084187 -1.1974 0.231133
## postchange -34.335817 12.184789 -2.8179 0.004834 **
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## [1] "9 Regression for wincall model2c on 2016-09-07/red/50-100%"
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -341.71 -48.63 -5.27 51.86 169.87
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 304.93 21.83 13.971 < 2e-16 ***
## hour1 -81.56 27.83 -2.931 0.003635 **
## hour2 -149.56 27.83 -5.374 1.52e-07 ***
## hour3 -207.63 27.83 -7.461 8.89e-13 ***
## hour4 -263.35 27.83 -9.463 < 2e-16 ***
## hour5 -312.92 27.83 -11.244 < 2e-16 ***
## hour6 -342.13 27.83 -12.294 < 2e-16 ***
## hour7 -355.28 27.83 -12.766 < 2e-16 ***
## hour8 -370.63 27.83 -13.318 < 2e-16 ***
## hour9 -363.99 27.83 -13.079 < 2e-16 ***
## hour10 -354.78 27.83 -12.748 < 2e-16 ***
## hour11 -314.35 27.83 -11.296 < 2e-16 ***
## hour12 -213.35 27.83 -7.666 2.35e-13 ***
## hour13 -52.78 27.83 -1.896 0.058842 .
## hour14 33.94 27.83 1.220 0.223589
## hour15 89.30 27.83 3.209 0.001474 **
## hour16 146.65 27.83 5.270 2.58e-07 ***
## hour17 173.94 27.83 6.250 1.37e-09 ***
## hour18 225.72 27.83 8.111 1.22e-14 ***
## hour19 214.87 27.83 7.721 1.64e-13 ***
## hour20 183.44 27.83 6.592 1.90e-10 ***
## hour21 144.58 27.83 5.195 3.73e-07 ***
## hour22 65.01 27.83 2.336 0.020135 *
## hour23 48.15 27.83 1.730 0.084587 .
## dow2 91.33 15.28 5.976 6.32e-09 ***
## dow3 153.25 15.28 10.028 < 2e-16 ***
## dow4 157.21 15.21 10.336 < 2e-16 ***
## dow5 132.21 15.28 8.651 2.90e-16 ***
## dow6 129.58 15.28 8.479 9.67e-16 ***
## dow7 51.38 15.28 3.362 0.000872 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 5605.065)
##
## Null deviance: 17678273 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 1720755 on 307 degrees of freedom
## AIC: 3895.7
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 304.926 19.998 15.2476 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour1 -81.562 20.569 -3.9654 7.328e-05 ***
## hour2 -149.562 21.550 -6.9402 3.916e-12 ***
## hour3 -207.633 21.943 -9.4625 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour4 -263.348 22.003 -11.9688 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour5 -312.919 22.835 -13.7034 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour6 -342.133 22.813 -14.9975 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour7 -355.276 21.406 -16.5967 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour8 -370.633 22.297 -16.6228 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour9 -363.991 22.388 -16.2586 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour10 -354.776 21.370 -16.6013 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour11 -314.348 20.548 -15.2981 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour12 -213.348 19.977 -10.6796 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour13 -52.776 22.686 -2.3264 0.0199973 *
## hour14 33.938 26.213 1.2947 0.1954183
## hour15 89.295 31.239 2.8585 0.0042568 **
## hour16 146.652 26.362 5.5631 2.650e-08 ***
## hour17 173.938 25.637 6.7845 1.164e-11 ***
## hour18 225.724 29.779 7.5800 3.457e-14 ***
## hour19 214.867 31.748 6.7679 1.307e-11 ***
## hour20 183.438 33.150 5.5335 3.139e-08 ***
## hour21 144.581 38.568 3.7487 0.0001778 ***
## hour22 65.009 35.844 1.8137 0.0697293 .
## hour23 48.152 23.483 2.0505 0.0403165 *
## dow2 91.333 18.408 4.9616 6.991e-07 ***
## dow3 153.250 17.315 8.8506 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow4 157.206 15.307 10.2700 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow5 132.208 18.414 7.1797 6.986e-13 ***
## dow6 129.583 14.758 8.7805 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow7 51.375 16.330 3.1460 0.0016552 **
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -336.69 -45.48 -6.31 48.90 192.97
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) -30.7293 10.8747 -2.826 0.00500 **
## lin1 -0.2868 0.1116 -2.569 0.01063 *
## lin2 0.2945 0.1106 2.662 0.00814 **
## postchange 12.4490 15.2886 0.814 0.41608
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 4922.627)
##
## Null deviance: 1720755 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 1639235 on 333 degrees of freedom
## AIC: 3827.4
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) -30.72925 12.43926 -2.4703 0.013498 *
## lin1 -0.28678 0.11082 -2.5877 0.009661 **
## lin2 0.29451 0.10739 2.7425 0.006098 **
## postchange 12.44899 16.21733 0.7676 0.442704
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## [1] "10 Regression for rate_wincall model2c on 2016-08-17/red/0-30%"
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.188e-03 -1.775e-04 -2.145e-05 1.489e-04 2.139e-03
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 4.262e-03 1.017e-04 41.908 < 2e-16 ***
## hour1 -6.334e-04 1.297e-04 -4.885 1.67e-06 ***
## hour2 -1.253e-03 1.297e-04 -9.661 < 2e-16 ***
## hour3 -1.789e-03 1.297e-04 -13.797 < 2e-16 ***
## hour4 -2.525e-03 1.297e-04 -19.471 < 2e-16 ***
## hour5 -2.970e-03 1.297e-04 -22.901 < 2e-16 ***
## hour6 -3.369e-03 1.297e-04 -25.977 < 2e-16 ***
## hour7 -3.551e-03 1.297e-04 -27.385 < 2e-16 ***
## hour8 -3.697e-03 1.297e-04 -28.508 < 2e-16 ***
## hour9 -3.729e-03 1.297e-04 -28.755 < 2e-16 ***
## hour10 -3.622e-03 1.297e-04 -27.935 < 2e-16 ***
## hour11 -3.401e-03 1.297e-04 -26.230 < 2e-16 ***
## hour12 -2.907e-03 1.297e-04 -22.416 < 2e-16 ***
## hour13 -2.182e-03 1.297e-04 -16.823 < 2e-16 ***
## hour14 -1.689e-03 1.297e-04 -13.026 < 2e-16 ***
## hour15 -1.097e-03 1.297e-04 -8.457 1.13e-15 ***
## hour16 -7.187e-04 1.297e-04 -5.542 6.43e-08 ***
## hour17 -3.760e-04 1.297e-04 -2.899 0.004009 **
## hour18 -8.846e-05 1.297e-04 -0.682 0.495642
## hour19 1.088e-04 1.297e-04 0.839 0.401980
## hour20 2.004e-04 1.297e-04 1.545 0.123324
## hour21 4.757e-04 1.297e-04 3.668 0.000288 ***
## hour22 7.147e-04 1.297e-04 5.511 7.55e-08 ***
## hour23 6.710e-04 1.297e-04 5.174 4.14e-07 ***
## dow2 -4.650e-04 7.121e-05 -6.530 2.73e-10 ***
## dow3 -4.073e-06 7.121e-05 -0.057 0.954420
## dow4 2.537e-05 7.087e-05 0.358 0.720631
## dow5 -1.845e-04 7.121e-05 -2.591 0.010039 *
## dow6 3.065e-05 7.121e-05 0.430 0.667160
## dow7 6.396e-04 7.121e-05 8.983 < 2e-16 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 1.216986e-07)
##
## Null deviance: 8.7506e-04 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 3.7361e-05 on 307 degrees of freedom
## AIC: -4378.7
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 4.2620e-03 1.3422e-04 31.7535 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour1 -6.3343e-04 1.4973e-04 -4.2305 2.332e-05 ***
## hour2 -1.2528e-03 1.4770e-04 -8.4826 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour3 -1.7892e-03 1.4364e-04 -12.4563 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour4 -2.5249e-03 1.4504e-04 -17.4089 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour5 -2.9697e-03 1.3371e-04 -22.2104 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour6 -3.3685e-03 1.3660e-04 -24.6595 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour7 -3.5512e-03 1.4880e-04 -23.8661 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour8 -3.6967e-03 1.3290e-04 -27.8169 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour9 -3.7288e-03 1.3657e-04 -27.3026 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour10 -3.6224e-03 1.3660e-04 -26.5180 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour11 -3.4014e-03 1.3081e-04 -26.0020 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour12 -2.9067e-03 1.3556e-04 -21.4429 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour13 -2.1815e-03 1.6101e-04 -13.5495 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour14 -1.6891e-03 1.7938e-04 -9.4165 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour15 -1.0966e-03 2.1288e-04 -5.1512 2.588e-07 ***
## hour16 -7.1871e-04 1.4596e-04 -4.9239 8.483e-07 ***
## hour17 -3.7598e-04 1.4550e-04 -2.5840 0.0097651 **
## hour18 -8.8461e-05 1.3871e-04 -0.6377 0.5236471
## hour19 1.0883e-04 1.4725e-04 0.7391 0.4598419
## hour20 2.0038e-04 1.3422e-04 1.4929 0.1354718
## hour21 4.7569e-04 1.4178e-04 3.3551 0.0007932 ***
## hour22 7.1469e-04 1.7215e-04 4.1515 3.303e-05 ***
## hour23 6.7095e-04 1.9872e-04 3.3763 0.0007347 ***
## dow2 -4.6497e-04 7.7105e-05 -6.0303 1.637e-09 ***
## dow3 -4.0735e-06 6.7128e-05 -0.0607 0.9516120
## dow4 2.5367e-05 6.2220e-05 0.4077 0.6834970
## dow5 -1.8447e-04 7.2105e-05 -2.5584 0.0105160 *
## dow6 3.0653e-05 6.5951e-05 0.4648 0.6420848
## dow7 6.3965e-04 1.0256e-04 6.2367 4.469e-10 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.123e-03 -1.883e-04 -1.144e-05 1.543e-04 2.096e-03
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 1.028e-04 5.124e-05 2.007 0.0456 *
## lin1 7.382e-07 5.259e-07 1.403 0.1614
## lin2 -7.078e-07 5.213e-07 -1.358 0.1755
## postchange -8.359e-05 7.204e-05 -1.160 0.2467
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 1.092985e-07)
##
## Null deviance: 3.7361e-05 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 3.6396e-05 on 333 degrees of freedom
## AIC: -4439.5
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 1.0283e-04 4.8386e-05 2.1252 0.03357 *
## lin1 7.3816e-07 3.7100e-07 1.9897 0.04663 *
## lin2 -7.0777e-07 4.0276e-07 -1.7573 0.07887 .
## postchange -8.3595e-05 6.1669e-05 -1.3555 0.17524
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## [1] "11 Regression for rate_wincall model2c on 2016-09-1/red/30-50%"
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -0.0017696 -0.0002415 0.0000117 0.0002054 0.0075458
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 4.395e-03 1.800e-04 24.409 < 2e-16 ***
## hour1 -8.711e-04 2.296e-04 -3.795 0.000178 ***
## hour2 -1.456e-03 2.296e-04 -6.342 8.11e-10 ***
## hour3 -2.048e-03 2.296e-04 -8.923 < 2e-16 ***
## hour4 -2.666e-03 2.296e-04 -11.613 < 2e-16 ***
## hour5 -3.106e-03 2.296e-04 -13.530 < 2e-16 ***
## hour6 -3.489e-03 2.296e-04 -15.196 < 2e-16 ***
## hour7 -3.724e-03 2.296e-04 -16.220 < 2e-16 ***
## hour8 -3.868e-03 2.296e-04 -16.849 < 2e-16 ***
## hour9 -3.829e-03 2.296e-04 -16.680 < 2e-16 ***
## hour10 -3.801e-03 2.296e-04 -16.558 < 2e-16 ***
## hour11 -3.585e-03 2.296e-04 -15.615 < 2e-16 ***
## hour12 -3.170e-03 2.296e-04 -13.809 < 2e-16 ***
## hour13 -2.462e-03 2.296e-04 -10.724 < 2e-16 ***
## hour14 -1.979e-03 2.296e-04 -8.621 3.60e-16 ***
## hour15 -1.607e-03 2.296e-04 -7.000 1.62e-11 ***
## hour16 -1.102e-03 2.296e-04 -4.800 2.48e-06 ***
## hour17 -8.035e-04 2.296e-04 -3.500 0.000534 ***
## hour18 -4.019e-04 2.296e-04 -1.751 0.081003 .
## hour19 -3.341e-04 2.296e-04 -1.455 0.146613
## hour20 -4.515e-05 2.296e-04 -0.197 0.844228
## hour21 3.746e-04 2.296e-04 1.632 0.103764
## hour22 6.739e-04 2.296e-04 2.935 0.003583 **
## hour23 8.981e-04 2.296e-04 3.912 0.000113 ***
## dow2 -3.373e-04 1.261e-04 -2.676 0.007857 **
## dow3 -2.612e-05 1.261e-04 -0.207 0.835984
## dow4 -8.034e-05 1.261e-04 -0.637 0.524430
## dow5 -3.059e-04 1.255e-04 -2.438 0.015327 *
## dow6 -6.574e-05 1.261e-04 -0.522 0.602385
## dow7 5.206e-04 1.261e-04 4.130 4.69e-05 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 3.814184e-07)
##
## Null deviance: 0.0009546 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 0.0001171 on 307 degrees of freedom
## AIC: -3993.7
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 4.3946e-03 1.3916e-04 31.5788 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour1 -8.7114e-04 1.5998e-04 -5.4452 5.173e-08 ***
## hour2 -1.4559e-03 1.6173e-04 -9.0019 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour3 -2.0484e-03 1.4657e-04 -13.9759 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour4 -2.6660e-03 1.4506e-04 -18.3786 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour5 -3.1061e-03 1.3821e-04 -22.4728 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour6 -3.4886e-03 1.4244e-04 -24.4906 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour7 -3.7235e-03 1.4100e-04 -26.4074 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour8 -3.8679e-03 1.4245e-04 -27.1526 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour9 -3.8292e-03 1.4960e-04 -25.5955 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour10 -3.8012e-03 1.4436e-04 -26.3319 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour11 -3.5847e-03 1.3787e-04 -26.0002 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour12 -3.1700e-03 1.4703e-04 -21.5603 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour13 -2.4618e-03 1.5892e-04 -15.4913 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour14 -1.9790e-03 1.6969e-04 -11.6627 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour15 -1.6069e-03 1.8139e-04 -8.8586 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour16 -1.1019e-03 1.7608e-04 -6.2581 3.897e-10 ***
## hour17 -8.0347e-04 1.8197e-04 -4.4155 1.008e-05 ***
## hour18 -4.0190e-04 1.7479e-04 -2.2993 0.0214899 *
## hour19 -3.3409e-04 1.6845e-04 -1.9833 0.0473343 *
## hour20 -4.5146e-05 1.4942e-04 -0.3021 0.7625418
## hour21 3.7459e-04 1.5023e-04 2.4935 0.0126485 *
## hour22 6.7387e-04 3.4731e-04 1.9403 0.0523482 .
## hour23 8.9814e-04 6.1574e-04 1.4586 0.1446665
## dow2 -3.3731e-04 8.9061e-05 -3.7875 0.0001522 ***
## dow3 -2.6122e-05 2.0556e-04 -0.1271 0.8988777
## dow4 -8.0336e-05 7.0668e-05 -1.1368 0.2556155
## dow5 -3.0590e-04 8.0895e-05 -3.7814 0.0001559 ***
## dow6 -6.5745e-05 7.0158e-05 -0.9371 0.3487110
## dow7 5.2060e-04 9.7234e-05 5.3541 8.598e-08 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -0.0017534 -0.0002340 0.0000151 0.0002088 0.0075375
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) -1.650e-05 9.177e-05 -0.180 0.857
## lin1 -4.553e-07 9.420e-07 -0.483 0.629
## lin2 5.106e-07 9.336e-07 0.547 0.585
## postchange -4.822e-05 1.290e-04 -0.374 0.709
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 3.505918e-07)
##
## Null deviance: 0.00011710 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 0.00011675 on 333 degrees of freedom
## AIC: -4046.7
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) -1.6504e-05 4.4991e-05 -0.3668 0.7137
## lin1 -4.5527e-07 4.5805e-07 -0.9939 0.3203
## lin2 5.1061e-07 1.3365e-06 0.3820 0.7024
## postchange -4.8223e-05 8.4465e-05 -0.5709 0.5681
## [1] "12 Regression for rate_wincall model2c on 2016-09-07/red/50-100%"
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -0.0029927 -0.0002288 0.0000111 0.0002253 0.0076133
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 4.365e-03 1.935e-04 22.565 < 2e-16 ***
## hour1 -8.627e-04 2.467e-04 -3.497 0.000539 ***
## hour2 -1.411e-03 2.467e-04 -5.720 2.52e-08 ***
## hour3 -1.899e-03 2.467e-04 -7.698 1.91e-13 ***
## hour4 -2.431e-03 2.467e-04 -9.855 < 2e-16 ***
## hour5 -3.007e-03 2.467e-04 -12.191 < 2e-16 ***
## hour6 -3.434e-03 2.467e-04 -13.923 < 2e-16 ***
## hour7 -3.631e-03 2.467e-04 -14.719 < 2e-16 ***
## hour8 -3.809e-03 2.467e-04 -15.443 < 2e-16 ***
## hour9 -3.735e-03 2.467e-04 -15.143 < 2e-16 ***
## hour10 -3.679e-03 2.467e-04 -14.915 < 2e-16 ***
## hour11 -3.454e-03 2.467e-04 -14.004 < 2e-16 ***
## hour12 -3.053e-03 2.467e-04 -12.377 < 2e-16 ***
## hour13 -2.332e-03 2.467e-04 -9.453 < 2e-16 ***
## hour14 -1.934e-03 2.467e-04 -7.842 7.40e-14 ***
## hour15 -1.602e-03 2.467e-04 -6.494 3.35e-10 ***
## hour16 -1.061e-03 2.467e-04 -4.300 2.30e-05 ***
## hour17 -7.744e-04 2.467e-04 -3.139 0.001858 **
## hour18 -4.266e-04 2.467e-04 -1.730 0.084711 .
## hour19 -2.684e-04 2.467e-04 -1.088 0.277420
## hour20 -1.256e-04 2.467e-04 -0.509 0.610972
## hour21 2.075e-04 2.467e-04 0.841 0.400822
## hour22 4.566e-04 2.467e-04 1.851 0.065128 .
## hour23 9.212e-04 2.467e-04 3.734 0.000224 ***
## dow2 -3.856e-04 1.355e-04 -2.847 0.004717 **
## dow3 -8.745e-05 1.355e-04 -0.646 0.519037
## dow4 -9.073e-05 1.348e-04 -0.673 0.501433
## dow5 -3.807e-04 1.355e-04 -2.811 0.005263 **
## dow6 -2.000e-04 1.355e-04 -1.477 0.140830
## dow7 4.940e-04 1.355e-04 3.647 0.000312 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 4.403789e-07)
##
## Null deviance: 0.00090768 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 0.00013520 on 307 degrees of freedom
## AIC: -3945.3
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 4.3653e-03 1.3535e-04 32.2531 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour1 -8.6270e-04 1.5421e-04 -5.5942 2.217e-08 ***
## hour2 -1.4111e-03 1.4098e-04 -10.0087 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour3 -1.8989e-03 1.4155e-04 -13.4153 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour4 -2.4310e-03 1.4502e-04 -16.7635 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour5 -3.0071e-03 1.3273e-04 -22.6564 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour6 -3.4345e-03 1.3157e-04 -26.1043 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour7 -3.6307e-03 1.3046e-04 -27.8310 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour8 -3.8095e-03 1.3317e-04 -28.6062 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour9 -3.7353e-03 1.3796e-04 -27.0756 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour10 -3.6792e-03 1.3181e-04 -27.9122 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour11 -3.4543e-03 1.3458e-04 -25.6674 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour12 -3.0531e-03 1.4441e-04 -21.1421 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour13 -2.3318e-03 1.5523e-04 -15.0218 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour14 -1.9344e-03 1.6003e-04 -12.0871 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour15 -1.6020e-03 1.8753e-04 -8.5429 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour16 -1.0606e-03 1.4635e-04 -7.2474 4.249e-13 ***
## hour17 -7.7438e-04 1.7810e-04 -4.3479 1.374e-05 ***
## hour18 -4.2664e-04 1.5429e-04 -2.7651 0.005690 **
## hour19 -2.6840e-04 1.6865e-04 -1.5915 0.111502
## hour20 -1.2561e-04 1.6805e-04 -0.7474 0.454797
## hour21 2.0753e-04 2.3947e-04 0.8666 0.386143
## hour22 4.5660e-04 4.1117e-04 1.1105 0.266791
## hour23 9.2115e-04 6.1812e-04 1.4902 0.136163
## dow2 -3.8559e-04 8.9526e-05 -4.3070 1.655e-05 ***
## dow3 -8.7449e-05 2.0778e-04 -0.4209 0.673847
## dow4 -9.0731e-05 7.2956e-05 -1.2436 0.213630
## dow5 -3.8072e-04 1.1898e-04 -3.1997 0.001376 **
## dow6 -2.0001e-04 8.1724e-05 -2.4474 0.014391 *
## dow7 4.9402e-04 9.2947e-05 5.3151 1.066e-07 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -0.0029702 -0.0002166 0.0000196 0.0002217 0.0075429
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 7.080e-05 9.857e-05 0.718 0.473
## lin1 4.241e-07 1.012e-06 0.419 0.675
## lin2 -3.230e-07 1.003e-06 -0.322 0.748
## postchange -7.842e-05 1.386e-04 -0.566 0.572
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 4.044257e-07)
##
## Null deviance: 0.00013520 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 0.00013467 on 333 degrees of freedom
## AIC: -3998.6
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 7.0798e-05 2.1841e-04 0.3242 0.7458
## lin1 4.2406e-07 1.9250e-06 0.2203 0.8256
## lin2 -3.2304e-07 5.6371e-07 -0.5731 0.5666
## postchange -7.8421e-05 2.2949e-04 -0.3417 0.7326
## [1] "13 Regression for xbxchib model2c on 2016-10-11/purple/0-10%"
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -118.303 -17.402 -3.291 17.663 184.862
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 396.32342 10.99981 36.030 < 2e-16 ***
## hour1 -7.19396 13.96065 -0.515 0.606725
## hour2 -67.26539 13.96065 -4.818 2.31e-06 ***
## hour3 -115.83682 13.96065 -8.297 3.77e-15 ***
## hour4 -156.26539 13.96065 -11.193 < 2e-16 ***
## hour5 -204.69396 13.96065 -14.662 < 2e-16 ***
## hour6 -250.90825 13.96065 -17.973 < 2e-16 ***
## hour7 -291.97967 13.96065 -20.914 < 2e-16 ***
## hour8 -318.94079 14.23979 -22.398 < 2e-16 ***
## hour9 -316.24849 14.23979 -22.209 < 2e-16 ***
## hour10 -318.86387 14.23979 -22.392 < 2e-16 ***
## hour11 -309.78695 14.23979 -21.755 < 2e-16 ***
## hour12 -260.19396 13.96065 -18.638 < 2e-16 ***
## hour13 -222.62253 13.96065 -15.946 < 2e-16 ***
## hour14 -204.15789 14.55690 -14.025 < 2e-16 ***
## hour15 -157.90789 14.55690 -10.848 < 2e-16 ***
## hour16 -130.76539 13.96065 -9.367 < 2e-16 ***
## hour17 -117.76539 13.96065 -8.436 1.46e-15 ***
## hour18 -89.19396 13.96065 -6.389 6.44e-10 ***
## hour19 -93.05110 13.96065 -6.665 1.28e-10 ***
## hour20 -77.09464 14.23979 -5.414 1.27e-07 ***
## hour21 -28.63310 14.23979 -2.011 0.045252 *
## hour22 0.09175 13.96065 0.007 0.994760
## hour23 -28.69396 13.96065 -2.055 0.040720 *
## dow2 -21.84544 7.75574 -2.817 0.005177 **
## dow3 -25.03887 7.71892 -3.244 0.001314 **
## dow4 -17.49127 7.75574 -2.255 0.024844 *
## dow5 -16.86627 7.75574 -2.175 0.030443 *
## dow6 -29.83829 8.04295 -3.710 0.000247 ***
## dow7 16.17391 7.83121 2.065 0.039761 *
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 1410.542)
##
## Null deviance: 4282918 on 326 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 418931 on 297 degrees of freedom
## AIC: 3329.8
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 396.323422 12.745091 31.0962 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour1 -7.193960 20.469219 -0.3515 0.7252488
## hour2 -67.265389 14.818457 -4.5393 5.644e-06 ***
## hour3 -115.836818 18.008942 -6.4322 1.258e-10 ***
## hour4 -156.265389 16.258455 -9.6113 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour5 -204.693960 14.675892 -13.9476 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour6 -250.908246 13.146463 -19.0856 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour7 -291.979675 12.939889 -22.5643 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour8 -318.940794 13.571912 -23.5001 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour9 -316.248486 13.108979 -24.1246 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour10 -318.863871 13.162141 -24.2258 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour11 -309.786948 14.370308 -21.5574 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour12 -260.193960 13.948114 -18.6544 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour13 -222.622532 13.857136 -16.0656 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour14 -204.157891 13.824301 -14.7680 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour15 -157.907891 17.464036 -9.0419 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour16 -130.765389 15.007156 -8.7135 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour17 -117.765389 16.594277 -7.0967 1.277e-12 ***
## hour18 -89.193960 17.106225 -5.2141 1.847e-07 ***
## hour19 -93.051103 15.985055 -5.8211 5.845e-09 ***
## hour20 -77.094640 18.723627 -4.1175 3.830e-05 ***
## hour21 -28.633101 14.910035 -1.9204 0.0548085 .
## hour22 0.091754 17.596833 0.0052 0.9958397
## hour23 -28.693960 21.870389 -1.3120 0.1895200
## dow2 -21.845439 5.440084 -4.0156 5.928e-05 ***
## dow3 -25.038867 7.165975 -3.4941 0.0004756 ***
## dow4 -17.491272 8.129569 -2.1516 0.0314319 *
## dow5 -16.866272 7.930487 -2.1268 0.0334397 *
## dow6 -29.838295 6.916071 -4.3143 1.601e-05 ***
## dow7 16.173913 7.756691 2.0852 0.0370551 *
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -125.384 -19.608 -0.806 16.318 168.037
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) -7.75812 5.30086 -1.464 0.144287
## lin1 -0.22147 0.05784 -3.829 0.000154 ***
## lin2 0.21183 0.05228 4.052 6.38e-05 ***
## postchange -19.24286 7.34105 -2.621 0.009175 **
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 1099.41)
##
## Null deviance: 418931 on 326 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 355110 on 323 degrees of freedom
## AIC: 3223.8
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) -7.758121 4.848456 -1.6001 0.109572
## lin1 -0.221467 0.056248 -3.9373 8.240e-05 ***
## lin2 0.211827 0.045021 4.7051 2.537e-06 ***
## postchange -19.242855 6.843848 -2.8117 0.004928 **
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## [1] "14 Regression for xbxchib model2c on 2016-10-18/purple/10-30%"
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -107.310 -17.173 0.727 17.464 76.355
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 404.865 8.687 46.605 < 2e-16 ***
## hour1 -8.598 11.076 -0.776 0.4382
## hour2 -64.384 11.076 -5.813 1.55e-08 ***
## hour3 -124.455 11.076 -11.237 < 2e-16 ***
## hour4 -156.527 11.076 -14.132 < 2e-16 ***
## hour5 -201.027 11.076 -18.150 < 2e-16 ***
## hour6 -249.598 11.076 -22.535 < 2e-16 ***
## hour7 -286.027 11.076 -25.824 < 2e-16 ***
## hour8 -315.384 11.076 -28.475 < 2e-16 ***
## hour9 -311.170 11.076 -28.094 < 2e-16 ***
## hour10 -315.384 11.076 -28.475 < 2e-16 ***
## hour11 -302.027 11.076 -27.269 < 2e-16 ***
## hour12 -266.455 11.076 -24.057 < 2e-16 ***
## hour13 -228.027 11.076 -20.588 < 2e-16 ***
## hour14 -196.670 11.076 -17.757 < 2e-16 ***
## hour15 -158.241 11.076 -14.287 < 2e-16 ***
## hour16 -136.884 11.076 -12.359 < 2e-16 ***
## hour17 -127.241 11.076 -11.488 < 2e-16 ***
## hour18 -102.384 11.076 -9.244 < 2e-16 ***
## hour19 -86.027 11.076 -7.767 1.23e-13 ***
## hour20 -83.313 11.076 -7.522 6.09e-13 ***
## hour21 -26.655 11.297 -2.359 0.0189 *
## hour22 -16.116 11.297 -1.427 0.1547
## hour23 -45.670 11.076 -4.123 4.82e-05 ***
## dow2 -38.708 6.082 -6.364 7.19e-10 ***
## dow3 -33.242 6.053 -5.492 8.39e-08 ***
## dow4 -51.896 6.082 -8.532 6.82e-16 ***
## dow5 -58.917 6.082 -9.687 < 2e-16 ***
## dow6 -42.001 6.153 -6.826 4.71e-11 ***
## dow7 7.896 6.082 1.298 0.1952
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 887.8292)
##
## Null deviance: 4102565 on 334 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 270788 on 305 degrees of freedom
## AIC: 3255.5
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 404.8652 9.4339 42.9158 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour1 -8.5984 13.4166 -0.6409 0.5216056
## hour2 -64.3841 11.6308 -5.5356 3.101e-08 ***
## hour3 -124.4555 11.4425 -10.8766 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour4 -156.5269 9.7145 -16.1127 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour5 -201.0269 10.4772 -19.1871 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour6 -249.5984 10.3749 -24.0578 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour7 -286.0269 10.8007 -26.4823 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour8 -315.3841 10.2377 -30.8063 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour9 -311.1698 10.5718 -29.4340 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour10 -315.3841 10.9826 -28.7166 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour11 -302.0269 11.5475 -26.1552 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour12 -266.4555 9.8674 -27.0036 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour13 -228.0269 9.3817 -24.3054 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour14 -196.6698 10.7433 -18.3062 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour15 -158.2412 13.4857 -11.7340 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour16 -136.8841 10.8479 -12.6185 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour17 -127.2412 10.9970 -11.5705 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour18 -102.3841 13.9595 -7.3343 2.228e-13 ***
## hour19 -86.0269 13.7330 -6.2643 3.746e-10 ***
## hour20 -83.3126 13.3176 -6.2558 3.954e-10 ***
## hour21 -26.6548 12.0997 -2.2029 0.0275999 *
## hour22 -16.1164 15.6131 -1.0322 0.3019645
## hour23 -45.6698 13.6859 -3.3370 0.0008469 ***
## dow2 -38.7083 5.6067 -6.9039 5.059e-12 ***
## dow3 -33.2421 6.8763 -4.8343 1.336e-06 ***
## dow4 -51.8958 5.6033 -9.2616 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow5 -58.9167 6.7419 -8.7389 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow6 -42.0009 5.4939 -7.6450 2.090e-14 ***
## dow7 7.8958 6.9361 1.1384 0.2549669
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -101.626 -16.128 0.338 16.634 72.001
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 10.41230 4.35900 2.389 0.0175 *
## lin1 0.10876 0.04474 2.431 0.0156 *
## lin2 -0.09910 0.04514 -2.195 0.0288 *
## postchange -3.41632 6.14624 -0.556 0.5787
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 790.9338)
##
## Null deviance: 270788 on 334 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 261799 on 331 degrees of freedom
## AIC: 3192.2
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 10.412299 3.972957 2.6208 0.008773 **
## lin1 0.108758 0.044123 2.4649 0.013706 *
## lin2 -0.099103 0.041402 -2.3937 0.016680 *
## postchange -3.416319 5.631930 -0.6066 0.544118
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## [1] "15 Regression for xbxchib model2c on 2016-11-01/purple/30-50%"
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -168.016 -27.546 -1.423 21.464 154.383
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 379.370 13.201 28.738 < 2e-16 ***
## hour1 -15.470 16.832 -0.919 0.358789
## hour2 -69.398 16.832 -4.123 4.82e-05 ***
## hour3 -110.113 16.832 -6.542 2.54e-10 ***
## hour4 -137.255 16.832 -8.154 9.06e-15 ***
## hour5 -180.684 16.832 -10.734 < 2e-16 ***
## hour6 -228.398 16.832 -13.569 < 2e-16 ***
## hour7 -274.113 16.832 -16.285 < 2e-16 ***
## hour8 -291.398 16.832 -17.312 < 2e-16 ***
## hour9 -295.470 16.832 -17.554 < 2e-16 ***
## hour10 -295.827 16.832 -17.575 < 2e-16 ***
## hour11 -295.613 16.832 -17.562 < 2e-16 ***
## hour12 -266.541 16.832 -15.835 < 2e-16 ***
## hour13 -225.041 16.832 -13.370 < 2e-16 ***
## hour14 -188.184 16.832 -11.180 < 2e-16 ***
## hour15 -156.113 16.832 -9.275 < 2e-16 ***
## hour16 -132.041 16.832 -7.845 7.26e-14 ***
## hour17 -113.541 16.832 -6.745 7.59e-11 ***
## hour18 -91.398 16.832 -5.430 1.15e-07 ***
## hour19 -63.041 16.832 -3.745 0.000215 ***
## hour20 -51.898 16.832 -3.083 0.002233 **
## hour21 -16.755 16.832 -0.995 0.320308
## hour22 -1.541 16.832 -0.092 0.927107
## hour23 3.459 16.832 0.205 0.837327
## dow2 -44.729 9.243 -4.839 2.07e-06 ***
## dow3 -19.946 9.199 -2.168 0.030902 *
## dow4 -37.979 9.243 -4.109 5.11e-05 ***
## dow5 -44.833 9.243 -4.850 1.96e-06 ***
## dow6 -25.958 9.243 -2.808 0.005299 **
## dow7 22.646 9.243 2.450 0.014844 *
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 2050.505)
##
## Null deviance: 4484764 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 629505 on 307 degrees of freedom
## AIC: 3556.9
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 379.3698 17.3044 21.9234 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour1 -15.4698 22.1381 -0.6988 0.4846878
## hour2 -69.3983 18.8798 -3.6758 0.0002371 ***
## hour3 -110.1126 21.5665 -5.1057 3.295e-07 ***
## hour4 -137.2555 20.6587 -6.6440 3.054e-11 ***
## hour5 -180.6840 18.6297 -9.6987 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour6 -228.3983 19.6419 -11.6281 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour7 -274.1126 18.7893 -14.5887 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour8 -291.3983 16.5383 -17.6197 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour9 -295.4698 16.8762 -17.5081 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour10 -295.8269 16.9506 -17.4523 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour11 -295.6126 16.8262 -17.5686 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour12 -266.5412 16.9715 -15.7052 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour13 -225.0412 17.4508 -12.8958 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour14 -188.1840 17.9929 -10.4588 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour15 -156.1126 20.5183 -7.6085 2.774e-14 ***
## hour16 -132.0412 19.5686 -6.7476 1.503e-11 ***
## hour17 -113.5412 20.4838 -5.5430 2.974e-08 ***
## hour18 -91.3983 21.8259 -4.1876 2.819e-05 ***
## hour19 -63.0412 20.3345 -3.1002 0.0019338 **
## hour20 -51.8983 19.7461 -2.6283 0.0085818 **
## hour21 -16.7555 22.0977 -0.7582 0.4483050
## hour22 -1.5412 21.7656 -0.0708 0.9435506
## hour23 3.4588 23.2553 0.1487 0.8817646
## dow2 -44.7292 9.2791 -4.8204 1.433e-06 ***
## dow3 -19.9463 9.3000 -2.1448 0.0319721 *
## dow4 -37.9792 8.0482 -4.7190 2.370e-06 ***
## dow5 -44.8333 8.3480 -5.3705 7.851e-08 ***
## dow6 -25.9583 9.9087 -2.6198 0.0087994 **
## dow7 22.6458 12.7580 1.7750 0.0758933 .
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -147.356 -22.000 1.483 19.239 128.361
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) -44.33846 5.72354 -7.747 1.15e-13 ***
## lin1 -0.32887 0.05875 -5.598 4.54e-08 ***
## lin2 0.31901 0.05823 5.479 8.46e-08 ***
## postchange 33.99293 8.04669 4.224 3.10e-05 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 1363.625)
##
## Null deviance: 629505 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 454087 on 333 degrees of freedom
## AIC: 3394.8
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) -44.338456 5.143806 -8.6198 < 2.2e-16 ***
## lin1 -0.328865 0.050407 -6.5242 6.835e-11 ***
## lin2 0.319011 0.061668 5.1731 2.303e-07 ***
## postchange 33.992935 7.077758 4.8028 1.565e-06 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## [1] "16 Regression for xbxchib model2c on 2016-12-15/purple/50-90%"
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -120.541 -22.457 -1.859 18.364 143.102
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 383.3987 11.7490 32.632 < 2e-16 ***
## hour1 -1.8788 14.9812 -0.125 0.900280
## hour2 -31.8074 14.9812 -2.123 0.034540 *
## hour3 -53.2359 14.9812 -3.554 0.000440 ***
## hour4 -100.3074 14.9812 -6.696 1.02e-10 ***
## hour5 -119.4502 14.9812 -7.973 3.07e-14 ***
## hour6 -165.2359 14.9812 -11.030 < 2e-16 ***
## hour7 -224.3788 14.9812 -14.977 < 2e-16 ***
## hour8 -261.0217 14.9812 -17.423 < 2e-16 ***
## hour9 -285.3788 14.9812 -19.049 < 2e-16 ***
## hour10 -286.1645 14.9812 -19.102 < 2e-16 ***
## hour11 -289.6645 14.9812 -19.335 < 2e-16 ***
## hour12 -275.9502 14.9812 -18.420 < 2e-16 ***
## hour13 -242.6645 14.9812 -16.198 < 2e-16 ***
## hour14 -206.6645 14.9812 -13.795 < 2e-16 ***
## hour15 -162.9502 14.9812 -10.877 < 2e-16 ***
## hour16 -128.4502 14.9812 -8.574 4.99e-16 ***
## hour17 -107.2359 14.9812 -7.158 6.06e-12 ***
## hour18 -84.0931 14.9812 -5.613 4.44e-08 ***
## hour19 -70.6645 14.9812 -4.717 3.64e-06 ***
## hour20 -39.8788 14.9812 -2.662 0.008179 **
## hour21 -13.5217 14.9812 -0.903 0.367457
## hour22 10.2641 14.9812 0.685 0.493778
## hour23 -0.2359 14.9812 -0.016 0.987444
## dow2 -38.5625 8.2267 -4.687 4.17e-06 ***
## dow3 -33.8750 8.2267 -4.118 4.92e-05 ***
## dow4 -30.2083 8.2267 -3.672 0.000284 ***
## dow5 -76.7020 8.1873 -9.368 < 2e-16 ***
## dow6 -72.9792 8.2267 -8.871 < 2e-16 ***
## dow7 4.6875 8.2267 0.570 0.569238
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 1624.301)
##
## Null deviance: 4386095 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 498660 on 307 degrees of freedom
## AIC: 3478.3
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 383.39874 11.99472 31.9640 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour1 -1.87881 19.54090 -0.0961 0.9234035
## hour2 -31.80738 13.25677 -2.3993 0.0164251 *
## hour3 -53.23595 15.46308 -3.4428 0.0005758 ***
## hour4 -100.30738 12.49816 -8.0258 1.009e-15 ***
## hour5 -119.45023 11.62435 -10.2759 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour6 -165.23595 13.26378 -12.4577 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour7 -224.37881 13.17943 -17.0249 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour8 -261.02166 12.42414 -21.0092 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour9 -285.37881 12.68090 -22.5046 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour10 -286.16452 12.34804 -23.1749 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour11 -289.66452 12.15535 -23.8302 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour12 -275.95023 12.45153 -22.1619 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour13 -242.66452 12.09972 -20.0554 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour14 -206.66452 12.70927 -16.2609 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour15 -162.95023 15.31636 -10.6390 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour16 -128.45023 17.13425 -7.4967 6.545e-14 ***
## hour17 -107.23595 14.20984 -7.5466 4.468e-14 ***
## hour18 -84.09309 15.48329 -5.4312 5.597e-08 ***
## hour19 -70.66452 17.96728 -3.9330 8.391e-05 ***
## hour20 -39.87881 13.52922 -2.9476 0.0032025 **
## hour21 -13.52166 19.62020 -0.6892 0.4907160
## hour22 10.26405 20.84236 0.4925 0.6223934
## hour23 -0.23595 15.32370 -0.0154 0.9877150
## dow2 -38.56250 8.98185 -4.2934 1.760e-05 ***
## dow3 -33.87500 7.76971 -4.3599 1.301e-05 ***
## dow4 -30.20833 6.59244 -4.5823 4.600e-06 ***
## dow5 -76.70202 7.46948 -10.2687 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow6 -72.97917 9.23560 -7.9019 2.746e-15 ***
## dow7 4.68750 9.56043 0.4903 0.6239200
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -139.343 -22.564 -2.382 18.881 145.234
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) -11.30298 5.42139 -2.085 0.0378 *
## lin1 0.05922 0.05565 1.064 0.2880
## lin2 -0.04392 0.05515 -0.796 0.4264
## postchange 31.20286 7.62190 4.094 5.33e-05 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 1223.452)
##
## Null deviance: 498660 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 407410 on 333 degrees of freedom
## AIC: 3358.2
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) -11.302978 4.768488 -2.3703 0.01777 *
## lin1 0.059225 0.045954 1.2888 0.19748
## lin2 -0.043916 0.048835 -0.8993 0.36851
## postchange 31.202856 7.454532 4.1858 2.842e-05 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## [1] "17 Regression for xbxchib model2c on 2016-11-17/blue/content change"
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -231.311 -23.464 -0.621 21.871 127.461
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 428.19 14.06 30.451 < 2e-16 ***
## hour1 12.54 16.97 0.739 0.46037
## hour2 -30.23 16.97 -1.781 0.07592 .
## hour3 -72.84 16.97 -4.293 2.42e-05 ***
## hour4 -131.46 16.97 -7.748 1.67e-13 ***
## hour5 -157.84 16.97 -9.303 < 2e-16 ***
## hour6 -220.46 16.97 -12.993 < 2e-16 ***
## hour7 -262.69 16.97 -15.482 < 2e-16 ***
## hour8 -279.92 16.97 -16.497 < 2e-16 ***
## hour9 -301.53 16.97 -17.771 < 2e-16 ***
## hour10 -307.69 16.97 -18.134 < 2e-16 ***
## hour11 -300.61 16.97 -17.717 < 2e-16 ***
## hour12 -291.92 16.97 -17.204 < 2e-16 ***
## hour13 -247.61 16.97 -14.593 < 2e-16 ***
## hour14 -206.84 16.97 -12.190 < 2e-16 ***
## hour15 -174.76 16.97 -10.300 < 2e-16 ***
## hour16 -138.94 16.66 -8.339 3.27e-15 ***
## hour17 -102.15 16.99 -6.014 5.56e-09 ***
## hour18 -98.69 16.99 -5.810 1.67e-08 ***
## hour19 -82.84 16.99 -4.877 1.79e-06 ***
## hour20 -52.84 16.99 -3.111 0.00205 **
## hour21 -28.46 16.99 -1.675 0.09494 .
## hour22 -10.08 16.99 -0.593 0.55355
## hour23 -14.61 16.99 -0.860 0.39033
## dow2 -55.94 10.09 -5.544 6.74e-08 ***
## dow3 -69.55 10.09 -6.893 3.54e-11 ***
## dow4 -55.17 10.09 -5.468 9.98e-08 ***
## dow5 -93.13 10.05 -9.262 < 2e-16 ***
## dow6 -64.44 10.09 -6.387 6.90e-10 ***
## dow7 -32.04 10.50 -3.051 0.00249 **
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 1939.499)
##
## Null deviance: 4439367 on 313 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 550818 on 284 degrees of freedom
## AIC: 3298.6
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 428.190 13.947 30.7014 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour1 12.543 16.649 0.7534 0.451228
## hour2 -30.226 14.858 -2.0343 0.041924 *
## hour3 -72.841 17.096 -4.2609 2.036e-05 ***
## hour4 -131.457 20.683 -6.3557 2.075e-10 ***
## hour5 -157.841 23.207 -6.8015 1.035e-11 ***
## hour6 -220.457 16.358 -13.4770 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour7 -262.688 12.435 -21.1241 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour8 -279.918 12.238 -22.8735 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour9 -301.534 12.604 -23.9233 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour10 -307.688 12.044 -25.5460 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour11 -300.611 12.079 -24.8867 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour12 -291.918 12.177 -23.9733 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour13 -247.611 11.475 -21.5776 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour14 -206.841 14.268 -14.4973 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour15 -174.765 15.405 -11.3446 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour16 -138.938 17.442 -7.9656 1.644e-15 ***
## hour17 -102.152 18.044 -5.6612 1.503e-08 ***
## hour18 -98.691 15.750 -6.2662 3.700e-10 ***
## hour19 -82.844 18.657 -4.4405 8.976e-06 ***
## hour20 -52.844 18.463 -2.8622 0.004208 **
## hour21 -28.460 17.101 -1.6642 0.096071 .
## hour22 -10.075 18.466 -0.5456 0.585346
## hour23 -14.614 17.275 -0.8460 0.397580
## dow2 -55.941 10.536 -5.3096 1.098e-07 ***
## dow3 -69.546 9.840 -7.0677 1.575e-12 ***
## dow4 -55.171 10.511 -5.2488 1.531e-07 ***
## dow5 -93.130 10.470 -8.8947 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow6 -64.442 10.518 -6.1266 8.975e-10 ***
## dow7 -32.038 15.632 -2.0494 0.040419 *
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -227.20 -23.52 -0.84 23.69 123.22
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) -12.30730 6.95783 -1.769 0.0779 .
## lin1 -0.08908 0.08269 -1.077 0.2822
## lin2 0.05705 0.06571 0.868 0.3860
## postchange 12.49535 9.44230 1.323 0.1867
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 1736.824)
##
## Null deviance: 550818 on 313 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 538415 on 310 degrees of freedom
## AIC: 3239.4
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) -12.307302 5.150465 -2.3896 0.01687 *
## lin1 -0.089077 0.066256 -1.3444 0.17881
## lin2 0.057051 0.048140 1.1851 0.23597
## postchange 12.495352 7.547330 1.6556 0.09780 .
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## [1] "18 Regression for rate_xbxchib model2c on 2016-10-11/purple/0-10%"
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.288e-03 -2.448e-04 -2.723e-05 1.952e-04 1.728e-03
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 4.664e-03 1.310e-04 35.592 < 2e-16 ***
## hour1 -1.766e-05 1.663e-04 -0.106 0.91552
## hour2 -4.374e-04 1.663e-04 -2.630 0.00898 **
## hour3 -8.037e-04 1.663e-04 -4.833 2.16e-06 ***
## hour4 -1.086e-03 1.663e-04 -6.527 2.89e-10 ***
## hour5 -1.573e-03 1.663e-04 -9.460 < 2e-16 ***
## hour6 -2.219e-03 1.663e-04 -13.341 < 2e-16 ***
## hour7 -2.761e-03 1.663e-04 -16.603 < 2e-16 ***
## hour8 -3.086e-03 1.696e-04 -18.194 < 2e-16 ***
## hour9 -3.077e-03 1.696e-04 -18.142 < 2e-16 ***
## hour10 -3.161e-03 1.696e-04 -18.638 < 2e-16 ***
## hour11 -3.237e-03 1.696e-04 -19.083 < 2e-16 ***
## hour12 -3.020e-03 1.663e-04 -18.157 < 2e-16 ***
## hour13 -2.898e-03 1.663e-04 -17.427 < 2e-16 ***
## hour14 -2.835e-03 1.734e-04 -16.348 < 2e-16 ***
## hour15 -2.573e-03 1.734e-04 -14.840 < 2e-16 ***
## hour16 -2.347e-03 1.663e-04 -14.114 < 2e-16 ***
## hour17 -2.191e-03 1.663e-04 -13.176 < 2e-16 ***
## hour18 -1.958e-03 1.663e-04 -11.771 < 2e-16 ***
## hour19 -1.900e-03 1.663e-04 -11.423 < 2e-16 ***
## hour20 -1.642e-03 1.696e-04 -9.682 < 2e-16 ***
## hour21 -9.660e-04 1.696e-04 -5.695 2.97e-08 ***
## hour22 -2.802e-04 1.663e-04 -1.685 0.09310 .
## hour23 -3.230e-04 1.663e-04 -1.942 0.05305 .
## dow2 -1.164e-03 9.239e-05 -12.595 < 2e-16 ***
## dow3 -1.167e-03 9.195e-05 -12.687 < 2e-16 ***
## dow4 -1.095e-03 9.239e-05 -11.848 < 2e-16 ***
## dow5 -1.170e-03 9.239e-05 -12.663 < 2e-16 ***
## dow6 -1.085e-03 9.581e-05 -11.325 < 2e-16 ***
## dow7 1.579e-04 9.329e-05 1.693 0.09149 .
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 2.001542e-07)
##
## Null deviance: 5.4694e-04 on 326 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 5.9446e-05 on 297 degrees of freedom
## AIC: -4085.2
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 4.6637e-03 1.7250e-04 27.0355 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour1 -1.7656e-05 2.3940e-04 -0.0737 0.9412097
## hour2 -4.3739e-04 1.8209e-04 -2.4021 0.0163021 *
## hour3 -8.0373e-04 2.2032e-04 -3.6480 0.0002643 ***
## hour4 -1.0855e-03 2.1283e-04 -5.1005 3.388e-07 ***
## hour5 -1.5732e-03 1.9457e-04 -8.0855 6.191e-16 ***
## hour6 -2.2186e-03 1.6640e-04 -13.3331 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour7 -2.7611e-03 1.7028e-04 -16.2150 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour8 -3.0862e-03 1.8496e-04 -16.6852 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour9 -3.0774e-03 1.8992e-04 -16.2032 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour10 -3.1614e-03 1.9097e-04 -16.5550 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour11 -3.2370e-03 1.9105e-04 -16.9432 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour12 -3.0196e-03 1.6495e-04 -18.3059 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour13 -2.8980e-03 1.6134e-04 -17.9622 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour14 -2.8349e-03 1.6161e-04 -17.5414 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour15 -2.5733e-03 1.7978e-04 -14.3135 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour16 -2.3473e-03 1.6761e-04 -14.0040 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour17 -2.1912e-03 1.8852e-04 -11.6234 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour18 -1.9575e-03 2.0635e-04 -9.4861 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour19 -1.8996e-03 1.9540e-04 -9.7216 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour20 -1.6423e-03 2.1583e-04 -7.6090 2.762e-14 ***
## hour21 -9.6599e-04 2.2417e-04 -4.3092 1.639e-05 ***
## hour22 -2.8017e-04 2.3037e-04 -1.2162 0.2239144
## hour23 -3.2300e-04 2.5354e-04 -1.2739 0.2026813
## dow2 -1.1636e-03 8.0568e-05 -14.4422 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow3 -1.1666e-03 8.4902e-05 -13.7404 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow4 -1.0946e-03 9.4599e-05 -11.5714 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow5 -1.1699e-03 9.6937e-05 -12.0686 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow6 -1.0850e-03 9.3122e-05 -11.6518 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow7 1.5794e-04 1.1841e-04 1.3339 0.1822497
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.391e-03 -2.507e-04 -3.394e-05 1.834e-04 1.572e-03
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 2.178e-05 6.545e-05 0.333 0.7395
## lin1 -1.214e-06 7.141e-07 -1.700 0.0901 .
## lin2 1.158e-06 6.456e-07 1.793 0.0738 .
## postchange -2.296e-04 9.065e-05 -2.533 0.0118 *
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 1.676253e-07)
##
## Null deviance: 5.9446e-05 on 326 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 5.4143e-05 on 323 degrees of freedom
## AIC: -4167.7
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 2.1783e-05 6.4600e-05 0.3372 0.735966
## lin1 -1.2142e-06 6.1241e-07 -1.9826 0.047413 *
## lin2 1.1578e-06 5.6435e-07 2.0515 0.040219 *
## postchange -2.2964e-04 8.3629e-05 -2.7460 0.006033 **
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## [1] "19 Regression for rate_xbxchib model2c on 2016-10-18/purple/10-30%"
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -0.005581 -0.000388 0.000199 0.000471 0.045578
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 4.469e-03 1.071e-03 4.173 3.92e-05 ***
## hour1 -2.871e-05 1.365e-03 -0.021 0.9832
## hour2 -4.663e-04 1.365e-03 -0.342 0.7329
## hour3 -9.245e-04 1.365e-03 -0.677 0.4988
## hour4 -1.145e-03 1.365e-03 -0.839 0.4024
## hour5 -1.601e-03 1.365e-03 -1.172 0.2419
## hour6 -2.277e-03 1.365e-03 -1.668 0.0964 .
## hour7 -2.763e-03 1.365e-03 -2.024 0.0439 *
## hour8 -3.101e-03 1.365e-03 -2.271 0.0238 *
## hour9 -3.083e-03 1.365e-03 -2.258 0.0247 *
## hour10 -3.190e-03 1.365e-03 -2.336 0.0201 *
## hour11 -3.209e-03 1.365e-03 -2.350 0.0194 *
## hour12 -3.087e-03 1.365e-03 -2.261 0.0245 *
## hour13 -2.939e-03 1.365e-03 -2.153 0.0321 *
## hour14 -2.751e-03 1.365e-03 -2.015 0.0448 *
## hour15 -2.526e-03 1.365e-03 -1.850 0.0653 .
## hour16 -2.376e-03 1.365e-03 -1.741 0.0828 .
## hour17 -2.288e-03 1.365e-03 -1.675 0.0949 .
## hour18 -1.602e-03 1.365e-03 -1.173 0.2416
## hour19 1.239e-03 1.365e-03 0.907 0.3650
## hour20 1.934e-03 1.365e-03 1.417 0.1575
## hour21 -8.546e-04 1.393e-03 -0.614 0.5399
## hour22 -3.301e-04 1.393e-03 -0.237 0.8128
## hour23 -5.239e-06 1.365e-03 -0.004 0.9969
## dow2 -1.402e-03 7.497e-04 -1.870 0.0624 .
## dow3 -1.232e-03 7.462e-04 -1.651 0.0997 .
## dow4 -1.407e-03 7.497e-04 -1.877 0.0615 .
## dow5 -1.536e-03 7.497e-04 -2.049 0.0414 *
## dow6 1.098e-03 7.584e-04 1.448 0.1487
## dow7 2.829e-05 7.497e-04 0.038 0.9699
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 1.349078e-05)
##
## Null deviance: 0.0051101 on 334 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 0.0041147 on 305 degrees of freedom
## AIC: -2775.3
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 4.4692e-03 3.5185e-04 12.7022 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour1 -2.8710e-05 3.8414e-04 -0.0747 0.9404233
## hour2 -4.6635e-04 3.6160e-04 -1.2897 0.1971557
## hour3 -9.2448e-04 3.8573e-04 -2.3967 0.0165440 *
## hour4 -1.1449e-03 3.5801e-04 -3.1981 0.0013834 **
## hour5 -1.6007e-03 3.6510e-04 -4.3843 1.164e-05 ***
## hour6 -2.2772e-03 3.5537e-04 -6.4079 1.476e-10 ***
## hour7 -2.7629e-03 3.5210e-04 -7.8467 4.271e-15 ***
## hour8 -3.1010e-03 3.4660e-04 -8.9469 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour9 -3.0826e-03 3.6272e-04 -8.4986 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour10 -3.1897e-03 3.6325e-04 -8.7809 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour11 -3.2090e-03 3.6764e-04 -8.7288 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour12 -3.0866e-03 3.6051e-04 -8.5619 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour13 -2.9391e-03 3.5644e-04 -8.2457 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour14 -2.7513e-03 3.6675e-04 -7.5019 6.290e-14 ***
## hour15 -2.5257e-03 3.7754e-04 -6.6900 2.231e-11 ***
## hour16 -2.3763e-03 3.6480e-04 -6.5140 7.315e-11 ***
## hour17 -2.2875e-03 3.6261e-04 -6.3085 2.818e-10 ***
## hour18 -1.6018e-03 4.5584e-04 -3.5141 0.0004413 ***
## hour19 1.2386e-03 2.9870e-03 0.4147 0.6783823
## hour20 1.9345e-03 3.5470e-03 0.5454 0.5854976
## hour21 -8.5460e-04 3.7441e-04 -2.2825 0.0224578 *
## hour22 -3.3015e-04 3.8050e-04 -0.8677 0.3855826
## hour23 -5.2395e-06 5.5741e-04 -0.0094 0.9925002
## dow2 -1.4021e-03 2.0537e-04 -6.8273 8.651e-12 ***
## dow3 -1.2323e-03 2.1964e-04 -5.6104 2.018e-08 ***
## dow4 -1.4070e-03 2.0596e-04 -6.8317 8.391e-12 ***
## dow5 -1.5359e-03 2.1108e-04 -7.2761 3.435e-13 ***
## dow6 1.0980e-03 1.4114e-03 0.7779 0.4366110
## dow7 2.8290e-05 1.9323e-04 0.1464 0.8836031
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -0.005215 -0.000566 0.000094 0.000600 0.045208
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) -3.998e-04 5.435e-04 -0.736 0.462
## lin1 -4.466e-07 5.579e-06 -0.080 0.936
## lin2 6.440e-07 5.629e-06 0.114 0.909
## postchange 7.107e-04 7.664e-04 0.927 0.354
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 1.229686e-05)
##
## Null deviance: 0.0041147 on 334 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 0.0040703 on 331 degrees of freedom
## AIC: -2830.9
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) -3.9984e-04 1.8457e-04 -2.1663 0.03029 *
## lin1 -4.4663e-07 1.7689e-06 -0.2525 0.80066
## lin2 6.4401e-07 2.1633e-06 0.2977 0.76593
## postchange 7.1066e-04 3.5190e-04 2.0195 0.04344 *
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## [1] "20 Regression for rate_xbxchib model2c on 2016-11-01/purple/30-50%"
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -2.320e-03 -3.017e-04 -3.385e-05 2.250e-04 2.158e-03
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 0.0047393 0.0001715 27.633 < 2e-16 ***
## hour1 -0.0001227 0.0002187 -0.561 0.575159
## hour2 -0.0005298 0.0002187 -2.423 0.015989 *
## hour3 -0.0007750 0.0002187 -3.544 0.000456 ***
## hour4 -0.0009341 0.0002187 -4.271 2.59e-05 ***
## hour5 -0.0013643 0.0002187 -6.239 1.46e-09 ***
## hour6 -0.0020765 0.0002187 -9.495 < 2e-16 ***
## hour7 -0.0027135 0.0002187 -12.408 < 2e-16 ***
## hour8 -0.0029465 0.0002187 -13.474 < 2e-16 ***
## hour9 -0.0030528 0.0002187 -13.960 < 2e-16 ***
## hour10 -0.0031161 0.0002187 -14.249 < 2e-16 ***
## hour11 -0.0032365 0.0002187 -14.799 < 2e-16 ***
## hour12 -0.0031576 0.0002187 -14.439 < 2e-16 ***
## hour13 -0.0029841 0.0002187 -13.645 < 2e-16 ***
## hour14 -0.0028065 0.0002187 -12.833 < 2e-16 ***
## hour15 -0.0025958 0.0002187 -11.870 < 2e-16 ***
## hour16 -0.0024052 0.0002187 -10.998 < 2e-16 ***
## hour17 -0.0022098 0.0002187 -10.105 < 2e-16 ***
## hour18 -0.0020428 0.0002187 -9.341 < 2e-16 ***
## hour19 -0.0017844 0.0002187 -8.160 8.74e-15 ***
## hour20 -0.0015745 0.0002187 -7.200 4.68e-12 ***
## hour21 -0.0010302 0.0002187 -4.711 3.74e-06 ***
## hour22 -0.0005108 0.0002187 -2.336 0.020145 *
## hour23 -0.0001203 0.0002187 -0.550 0.582541
## dow2 -0.0014134 0.0001201 -11.770 < 2e-16 ***
## dow3 -0.0012047 0.0001195 -10.080 < 2e-16 ***
## dow4 -0.0013058 0.0001201 -10.873 < 2e-16 ***
## dow5 -0.0014544 0.0001201 -12.111 < 2e-16 ***
## dow6 -0.0011582 0.0001201 -9.645 < 2e-16 ***
## dow7 0.0001855 0.0001201 1.545 0.123478
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 3.461259e-07)
##
## Null deviance: 0.00063658 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 0.00010626 on 307 degrees of freedom
## AIC: -4026.4
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 0.00473934 0.00026966 17.5752 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour1 -0.00012270 0.00032331 -0.3795 0.7043105
## hour2 -0.00052979 0.00027131 -1.9528 0.0508491 .
## hour3 -0.00077499 0.00030260 -2.5611 0.0104336 *
## hour4 -0.00093413 0.00029842 -3.1303 0.0017465 **
## hour5 -0.00136433 0.00028624 -4.7663 1.876e-06 ***
## hour6 -0.00207648 0.00028274 -7.3442 2.070e-13 ***
## hour7 -0.00271354 0.00027133 -10.0008 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour8 -0.00294653 0.00025489 -11.5600 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour9 -0.00305283 0.00026772 -11.4031 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour10 -0.00311607 0.00026966 -11.5555 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour11 -0.00323645 0.00026236 -12.3358 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour12 -0.00315764 0.00025084 -12.5882 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour13 -0.00298408 0.00024271 -12.2949 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour14 -0.00280646 0.00024243 -11.5765 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour15 -0.00259577 0.00025710 -10.0962 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour16 -0.00240519 0.00025579 -9.4031 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour17 -0.00220982 0.00026885 -8.2195 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour18 -0.00204283 0.00029010 -7.0419 1.896e-12 ***
## hour19 -0.00178441 0.00028272 -6.3116 2.761e-10 ***
## hour20 -0.00157447 0.00028194 -5.5845 2.344e-08 ***
## hour21 -0.00103021 0.00030976 -3.3259 0.0008815 ***
## hour22 -0.00051082 0.00030035 -1.7007 0.0889975 .
## hour23 -0.00012034 0.00030929 -0.3891 0.6972256
## dow2 -0.00141342 0.00013151 -10.7477 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow3 -0.00120469 0.00012848 -9.3763 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow4 -0.00130579 0.00012064 -10.8241 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow5 -0.00145445 0.00012334 -11.7925 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow6 -0.00115824 0.00013839 -8.3691 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow7 0.00018549 0.00018566 0.9991 0.3177631
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -2.064e-03 -2.622e-04 -1.408e-05 2.567e-04 1.838e-03
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) -5.057e-04 7.689e-05 -6.577 1.86e-10 ***
## lin1 -3.461e-06 7.892e-07 -4.385 1.56e-05 ***
## lin2 3.283e-06 7.822e-07 4.197 3.47e-05 ***
## postchange 4.420e-04 1.081e-04 4.089 5.45e-05 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 2.460993e-07)
##
## Null deviance: 1.0626e-04 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 8.1951e-05 on 333 degrees of freedom
## AIC: -4166
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) -5.0574e-04 6.6690e-05 -7.5833 3.368e-14 ***
## lin1 -3.4608e-06 6.1225e-07 -5.6526 1.580e-08 ***
## lin2 3.2833e-06 8.0996e-07 4.0537 5.042e-05 ***
## postchange 4.4197e-04 8.6305e-05 5.1210 3.039e-07 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## [1] "21 Regression for rate_xbxchib model2c on 2016-12-15/purple/50-90%"
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -0.0014191 -0.0003134 0.0000006 0.0002497 0.0018290
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 4.776e-03 1.522e-04 31.377 < 2e-16 ***
## hour1 -5.298e-05 1.941e-04 -0.273 0.7851
## hour2 -2.476e-04 1.941e-04 -1.276 0.2030
## hour3 -3.702e-04 1.941e-04 -1.907 0.0574 .
## hour4 -7.759e-04 1.941e-04 -3.997 8.02e-05 ***
## hour5 -8.339e-04 1.941e-04 -4.296 2.33e-05 ***
## hour6 -1.374e-03 1.941e-04 -7.077 1.00e-11 ***
## hour7 -2.096e-03 1.941e-04 -10.798 < 2e-16 ***
## hour8 -2.580e-03 1.941e-04 -13.294 < 2e-16 ***
## hour9 -2.912e-03 1.941e-04 -15.001 < 2e-16 ***
## hour10 -2.936e-03 1.941e-04 -15.125 < 2e-16 ***
## hour11 -3.042e-03 1.941e-04 -15.670 < 2e-16 ***
## hour12 -3.046e-03 1.941e-04 -15.695 < 2e-16 ***
## hour13 -2.950e-03 1.941e-04 -15.196 < 2e-16 ***
## hour14 -2.737e-03 1.941e-04 -14.100 < 2e-16 ***
## hour15 -2.525e-03 1.941e-04 -13.008 < 2e-16 ***
## hour16 -2.357e-03 1.941e-04 -12.141 < 2e-16 ***
## hour17 -2.123e-03 1.941e-04 -10.936 < 2e-16 ***
## hour18 -1.887e-03 1.941e-04 -9.725 < 2e-16 ***
## hour19 -1.758e-03 1.941e-04 -9.055 < 2e-16 ***
## hour20 -1.455e-03 1.941e-04 -7.498 7.02e-13 ***
## hour21 -1.097e-03 1.941e-04 -5.653 3.60e-08 ***
## hour22 -5.584e-04 1.941e-04 -2.877 0.0043 **
## hour23 -2.014e-04 1.941e-04 -1.038 0.3002
## dow2 -1.404e-03 1.066e-04 -13.175 < 2e-16 ***
## dow3 -1.262e-03 1.066e-04 -11.842 < 2e-16 ***
## dow4 -1.173e-03 1.066e-04 -11.006 < 2e-16 ***
## dow5 -1.733e-03 1.061e-04 -16.339 < 2e-16 ***
## dow6 -1.585e-03 1.066e-04 -14.868 < 2e-16 ***
## dow7 -1.213e-04 1.066e-04 -1.139 0.2558
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 2.726478e-07)
##
## Null deviance: 5.9683e-04 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 8.3703e-05 on 307 degrees of freedom
## AIC: -4106.8
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 4.7762e-03 2.1398e-04 22.3208 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour1 -5.2975e-05 3.0361e-04 -0.1745 0.8614866
## hour2 -2.4761e-04 2.3359e-04 -1.0600 0.2891475
## hour3 -3.7023e-04 2.5573e-04 -1.4478 0.1476862
## hour4 -7.7589e-04 2.1779e-04 -3.5625 0.0003673 ***
## hour5 -8.3391e-04 2.0759e-04 -4.0172 5.890e-05 ***
## hour6 -1.3737e-03 2.1358e-04 -6.4315 1.263e-10 ***
## hour7 -2.0958e-03 2.1938e-04 -9.5530 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour8 -2.5803e-03 2.1584e-04 -11.9547 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour9 -2.9117e-03 2.2238e-04 -13.0930 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour10 -2.9357e-03 2.2351e-04 -13.1343 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour11 -3.0415e-03 2.2371e-04 -13.5959 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour12 -3.0464e-03 2.1508e-04 -14.1642 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour13 -2.9495e-03 2.0273e-04 -14.5489 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour14 -2.7368e-03 2.0118e-04 -13.6038 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour15 -2.5248e-03 2.2031e-04 -11.4602 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour16 -2.3565e-03 2.0398e-04 -11.5530 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour17 -2.1225e-03 2.0793e-04 -10.2080 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour18 -1.8875e-03 2.2307e-04 -8.4615 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour19 -1.7575e-03 2.4311e-04 -7.2294 4.853e-13 ***
## hour20 -1.4552e-03 2.2299e-04 -6.5261 6.749e-11 ***
## hour21 -1.0973e-03 2.5231e-04 -4.3490 1.367e-05 ***
## hour22 -5.5838e-04 2.9551e-04 -1.8896 0.0588177 .
## hour23 -2.0141e-04 2.6005e-04 -0.7745 0.4386250
## dow2 -1.4042e-03 1.1772e-04 -11.9290 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow3 -1.2622e-03 1.0976e-04 -11.4999 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow4 -1.1730e-03 1.0403e-04 -11.2762 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow5 -1.7332e-03 1.0852e-04 -15.9706 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow6 -1.5847e-03 1.2175e-04 -13.0159 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow7 -1.2135e-04 1.5032e-04 -0.8073 0.4195023
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.561e-03 -2.612e-04 -4.514e-05 2.555e-04 1.592e-03
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) -2.447e-04 6.795e-05 -3.602 0.000364 ***
## lin1 -2.868e-08 6.974e-07 -0.041 0.967228
## lin2 2.844e-07 6.913e-07 0.411 0.681044
## postchange 4.617e-04 9.553e-05 4.833 2.05e-06 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 1.921934e-07)
##
## Null deviance: 8.3703e-05 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 6.4000e-05 on 333 degrees of freedom
## AIC: -4249.3
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) -2.4473e-04 4.6249e-05 -5.2916 1.212e-07 ***
## lin1 -2.8675e-08 5.1578e-07 -0.0556 0.9557
## lin2 2.8438e-07 5.6387e-07 0.5043 0.6140
## postchange 4.6172e-04 8.4525e-05 5.4625 4.694e-08 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## [1] "22 Regression for rate_xbxchib model2c on 2016-11-17/blue/content change"
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -0.0034923 -0.0003257 0.0000144 0.0002926 0.0029251
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 0.0054945 0.0001958 28.065 < 2e-16 ***
## hour1 -0.0001577 0.0002362 -0.668 0.50492
## hour2 -0.0004189 0.0002362 -1.773 0.07726 .
## hour3 -0.0007599 0.0002362 -3.217 0.00145 **
## hour4 -0.0012746 0.0002362 -5.395 1.44e-07 ***
## hour5 -0.0014421 0.0002362 -6.104 3.38e-09 ***
## hour6 -0.0022199 0.0002362 -9.397 < 2e-16 ***
## hour7 -0.0027421 0.0002362 -11.607 < 2e-16 ***
## hour8 -0.0029578 0.0002362 -12.520 < 2e-16 ***
## hour9 -0.0032628 0.0002362 -13.812 < 2e-16 ***
## hour10 -0.0033575 0.0002362 -14.212 < 2e-16 ***
## hour11 -0.0033185 0.0002362 -14.047 < 2e-16 ***
## hour12 -0.0034321 0.0002362 -14.528 < 2e-16 ***
## hour13 -0.0032682 0.0002362 -13.834 < 2e-16 ***
## hour14 -0.0030477 0.0002362 -12.901 < 2e-16 ***
## hour15 -0.0029108 0.0002362 -12.322 < 2e-16 ***
## hour16 -0.0026499 0.0002320 -11.423 < 2e-16 ***
## hour17 -0.0023476 0.0002365 -9.927 < 2e-16 ***
## hour18 -0.0022794 0.0002365 -9.638 < 2e-16 ***
## hour19 -0.0021265 0.0002365 -8.992 < 2e-16 ***
## hour20 -0.0018070 0.0002365 -7.641 3.34e-13 ***
## hour21 -0.0014539 0.0002365 -6.148 2.66e-09 ***
## hour22 -0.0009610 0.0002365 -4.064 6.26e-05 ***
## hour23 -0.0004190 0.0002365 -1.772 0.07754 .
## dow2 -0.0016460 0.0001405 -11.717 < 2e-16 ***
## dow3 -0.0016973 0.0001405 -12.082 < 2e-16 ***
## dow4 -0.0014893 0.0001405 -10.601 < 2e-16 ***
## dow5 -0.0019589 0.0001400 -13.993 < 2e-16 ***
## dow6 -0.0015085 0.0001405 -10.738 < 2e-16 ***
## dow7 -0.0004522 0.0001462 -3.094 0.00218 **
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 3.759669e-07)
##
## Null deviance: 0.00060926 on 313 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 0.00010677 on 284 degrees of freedom
## AIC: -3723.7
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 0.00549447 0.00030651 17.9261 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour1 -0.00015772 0.00031850 -0.4952 0.6204635
## hour2 -0.00041890 0.00030947 -1.3536 0.1758650
## hour3 -0.00075988 0.00032912 -2.3088 0.0209524 *
## hour4 -0.00127459 0.00036768 -3.4665 0.0005272 ***
## hour5 -0.00144207 0.00041703 -3.4580 0.0005443 ***
## hour6 -0.00221992 0.00034415 -6.4505 1.115e-10 ***
## hour7 -0.00274205 0.00030237 -9.0687 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour8 -0.00295779 0.00029297 -10.0960 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour9 -0.00326281 0.00030653 -10.6443 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour10 -0.00335745 0.00030539 -10.9941 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour11 -0.00331845 0.00029749 -11.1547 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour12 -0.00343207 0.00030241 -11.3491 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour13 -0.00326821 0.00028788 -11.3528 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour14 -0.00304769 0.00029379 -10.3738 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour15 -0.00291084 0.00029835 -9.7564 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour16 -0.00264989 0.00030568 -8.6689 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour17 -0.00234756 0.00031031 -7.5653 3.869e-14 ***
## hour18 -0.00227940 0.00030435 -7.4894 6.916e-14 ***
## hour19 -0.00212653 0.00032651 -6.5129 7.370e-11 ***
## hour20 -0.00180696 0.00034107 -5.2979 1.171e-07 ***
## hour21 -0.00145390 0.00034234 -4.2470 2.167e-05 ***
## hour22 -0.00096104 0.00035132 -2.7355 0.0062288 **
## hour23 -0.00041896 0.00037273 -1.1240 0.2609944
## dow2 -0.00164598 0.00014489 -11.3602 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow3 -0.00169729 0.00013497 -12.5755 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow4 -0.00148927 0.00013922 -10.6973 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow5 -0.00195887 0.00014070 -13.9223 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow6 -0.00150852 0.00014714 -10.2523 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow7 -0.00045221 0.00023765 -1.9029 0.0570549 .
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -0.0034444 -0.0003097 0.0000039 0.0002961 0.0028819
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) -1.064e-04 9.748e-05 -1.092 0.276
## lin1 -6.360e-07 1.158e-06 -0.549 0.583
## lin2 2.316e-07 9.206e-07 0.252 0.802
## postchange 1.385e-04 1.323e-04 1.047 0.296
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 3.409033e-07)
##
## Null deviance: 0.00010677 on 313 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 0.00010568 on 310 degrees of freedom
## AIC: -3778.9
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) -1.0644e-04 5.2936e-05 -2.0107 0.04436 *
## lin1 -6.3599e-07 7.4290e-07 -0.8561 0.39195
## lin2 2.3164e-07 6.3496e-07 0.3648 0.71525
## postchange 1.3847e-04 9.8049e-05 1.4122 0.15788
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## [1] "23 Regression for xbxcall model2c on 2016-10-11/purple/0-10%"
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -861.18 -100.15 -12.90 60.18 1365.53
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 1697.833 61.051 27.810 < 2e-16 ***
## hour1 -287.317 77.485 -3.708 0.000249 ***
## hour2 -718.674 77.485 -9.275 < 2e-16 ***
## hour3 -876.674 77.485 -11.314 < 2e-16 ***
## hour4 -1179.531 77.485 -15.223 < 2e-16 ***
## hour5 -1440.460 77.485 -18.590 < 2e-16 ***
## hour6 -1564.960 77.485 -20.197 < 2e-16 ***
## hour7 -1619.317 77.485 -20.899 < 2e-16 ***
## hour8 -1623.478 79.034 -20.542 < 2e-16 ***
## hour9 -1638.632 79.034 -20.733 < 2e-16 ***
## hour10 -1587.863 79.034 -20.091 < 2e-16 ***
## hour11 -1514.401 79.034 -19.161 < 2e-16 ***
## hour12 -1289.174 77.485 -16.638 < 2e-16 ***
## hour13 -898.745 77.485 -11.599 < 2e-16 ***
## hour14 -681.049 80.794 -8.429 1.52e-15 ***
## hour15 -450.383 80.794 -5.574 5.58e-08 ***
## hour16 -258.388 77.485 -3.335 0.000962 ***
## hour17 -218.031 77.485 -2.814 0.005222 **
## hour18 -196.960 77.485 -2.542 0.011533 *
## hour19 16.469 77.485 0.213 0.831827
## hour20 209.753 79.034 2.654 0.008384 **
## hour21 171.137 79.034 2.165 0.031155 *
## hour22 279.398 77.485 3.606 0.000365 ***
## hour23 159.398 77.485 2.057 0.040545 *
## dow2 -7.588 43.046 -0.176 0.860193
## dow3 18.733 42.842 0.437 0.662234
## dow4 -20.630 43.046 -0.479 0.632112
## dow5 -33.692 43.046 -0.783 0.434424
## dow6 48.388 44.640 1.084 0.279266
## dow7 116.174 43.465 2.673 0.007937 **
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 43451.58)
##
## Null deviance: 165708111 on 326 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 12905121 on 297 degrees of freedom
## AIC: 4450.7
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 1697.8332 71.4728 23.7550 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour1 -287.3167 113.8586 -2.5235 0.011621 *
## hour2 -718.6738 75.6349 -9.5019 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour3 -876.6738 130.0471 -6.7412 1.571e-11 ***
## hour4 -1179.5310 83.4696 -14.1313 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour5 -1440.4595 67.3790 -21.3785 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour6 -1564.9595 67.1309 -23.3121 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour7 -1619.3167 67.6285 -23.9443 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour8 -1623.4779 75.8873 -21.3933 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour9 -1638.6317 74.9192 -21.8720 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour10 -1587.8625 83.3692 -19.0462 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour11 -1514.4010 71.3007 -21.2396 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour12 -1289.1738 69.7182 -18.4912 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour13 -898.7452 68.8102 -13.0612 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour14 -681.0494 83.4096 -8.1651 3.211e-16 ***
## hour15 -450.3828 89.2483 -5.0464 4.502e-07 ***
## hour16 -258.3881 94.5524 -2.7328 0.006281 **
## hour17 -218.0310 86.2698 -2.5273 0.011494 *
## hour18 -196.9595 105.5561 -1.8659 0.062052 .
## hour19 16.4690 82.5781 0.1994 0.841922
## hour20 209.7529 100.2490 2.0923 0.036410 *
## hour21 171.1375 84.4228 2.0271 0.042647 *
## hour22 279.3976 91.5569 3.0516 0.002276 **
## hour23 159.3976 91.0781 1.7501 0.080098 .
## dow2 -7.5882 36.8962 -0.2057 0.837053
## dow3 18.7333 36.2287 0.5171 0.605096
## dow4 -20.6299 44.1112 -0.4677 0.640014
## dow5 -33.6924 49.0215 -0.6873 0.491895
## dow6 48.3877 40.9510 1.1816 0.237364
## dow7 116.1739 37.2083 3.1223 0.001795 **
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -863.55 -96.59 -11.32 58.88 1362.13
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) -4.0118 31.9303 -0.126 0.900
## lin1 -0.0693 0.3484 -0.199 0.842
## lin2 0.2124 0.3149 0.674 0.501
## postchange -15.2302 44.2196 -0.344 0.731
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 39890.74)
##
## Null deviance: 12905121 on 326 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 12884710 on 323 degrees of freedom
## AIC: 4398.2
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) -4.011753 27.703958 -0.1448 0.8849
## lin1 -0.069299 0.352631 -0.1965 0.8442
## lin2 0.212403 0.280329 0.7577 0.4486
## postchange -15.230185 37.540201 -0.4057 0.6850
## [1] "24 Regression for xbxcall model2c on 2016-10-18/purple/10-30%"
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -452.39 -98.06 -6.70 64.47 770.39
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 1699.04 47.52 35.752 < 2e-16 ***
## hour1 -324.08 60.59 -5.349 1.74e-07 ***
## hour2 -692.65 60.59 -11.432 < 2e-16 ***
## hour3 -968.08 60.59 -15.978 < 2e-16 ***
## hour4 -1213.73 60.59 -20.032 < 2e-16 ***
## hour5 -1430.94 60.59 -23.617 < 2e-16 ***
## hour6 -1554.94 60.59 -25.663 < 2e-16 ***
## hour7 -1618.23 60.59 -26.708 < 2e-16 ***
## hour8 -1624.51 60.59 -26.811 < 2e-16 ***
## hour9 -1635.51 60.59 -26.993 < 2e-16 ***
## hour10 -1586.87 60.59 -26.190 < 2e-16 ***
## hour11 -1523.80 60.59 -25.149 < 2e-16 ***
## hour12 -1278.23 60.59 -21.096 < 2e-16 ***
## hour13 -912.65 60.59 -15.063 < 2e-16 ***
## hour14 -670.80 60.59 -11.071 < 2e-16 ***
## hour15 -447.15 60.59 -7.380 1.51e-12 ***
## hour16 -319.23 60.59 -5.269 2.60e-07 ***
## hour17 -226.94 60.59 -3.745 0.000215 ***
## hour18 -128.51 60.59 -2.121 0.034729 *
## hour19 69.92 60.59 1.154 0.249430
## hour20 273.85 60.59 4.520 8.87e-06 ***
## hour21 258.74 61.80 4.187 3.71e-05 ***
## hour22 231.43 61.80 3.745 0.000216 ***
## hour23 174.35 60.59 2.877 0.004292 **
## dow2 -25.83 33.27 -0.776 0.438103
## dow3 68.80 33.11 2.078 0.038584 *
## dow4 -63.81 33.27 -1.918 0.056060 .
## dow5 -76.19 33.27 -2.290 0.022715 *
## dow6 34.72 33.66 1.032 0.303062
## dow7 153.08 33.27 4.601 6.18e-06 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 26569.29)
##
## Null deviance: 169592222 on 334 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 8103633 on 305 degrees of freedom
## AIC: 4394.1
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 1699.045 55.226 30.7651 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour1 -324.083 75.953 -4.2669 1.982e-05 ***
## hour2 -692.654 69.359 -9.9866 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour3 -968.083 63.640 -15.2118 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour4 -1213.726 56.334 -21.5451 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour5 -1430.940 52.302 -27.3592 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour6 -1554.940 52.136 -29.8247 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour7 -1618.226 52.974 -30.5477 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour8 -1624.511 60.443 -26.8769 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour9 -1635.511 59.088 -27.6791 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour10 -1586.869 67.302 -23.5782 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour11 -1523.797 56.450 -26.9939 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour12 -1278.226 55.626 -22.9789 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour13 -912.654 55.048 -16.5793 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour14 -670.797 67.064 -10.0024 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour15 -447.154 65.300 -6.8477 7.507e-12 ***
## hour16 -319.226 73.849 -4.3227 1.541e-05 ***
## hour17 -226.940 72.497 -3.1303 0.0017460 **
## hour18 -128.511 73.915 -1.7386 0.0820985 .
## hour19 69.917 64.835 1.0784 0.2808615
## hour20 273.846 83.848 3.2660 0.0010909 **
## hour21 258.739 70.179 3.6868 0.0002271 ***
## hour22 231.431 71.603 3.2322 0.0012286 **
## hour23 174.346 81.418 2.1414 0.0322441 *
## dow2 -25.833 35.746 -0.7227 0.4698635
## dow3 68.795 35.059 1.9623 0.0497327 *
## dow4 -63.812 31.859 -2.0030 0.0451788 *
## dow5 -76.187 30.940 -2.4625 0.0137987 *
## dow6 34.723 37.754 0.9197 0.3577250
## dow7 153.083 38.020 4.0264 5.663e-05 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -446.84 -97.67 -10.71 66.80 771.80
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 10.2933 24.2221 0.425 0.671
## lin1 0.1541 0.2486 0.620 0.536
## lin2 -0.1429 0.2509 -0.570 0.569
## postchange 4.3103 34.1534 0.126 0.900
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 24422.43)
##
## Null deviance: 8103633 on 334 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 8083823 on 331 degrees of freedom
## AIC: 4341.3
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 10.29335 26.85334 0.3833 0.7015
## lin1 0.15407 0.26569 0.5799 0.5620
## lin2 -0.14291 0.23851 -0.5992 0.5490
## postchange 4.31033 33.68727 0.1280 0.8982
## [1] "25 Regression for xbxcall model2c on 2016-11-01/purple/30-50%"
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -603.41 -78.85 -12.28 77.59 665.03
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 1617.37 53.74 30.097 < 2e-16 ***
## hour1 -309.97 68.52 -4.524 8.70e-06 ***
## hour2 -655.75 68.52 -9.570 < 2e-16 ***
## hour3 -944.61 68.52 -13.786 < 2e-16 ***
## hour4 -1146.11 68.52 -16.726 < 2e-16 ***
## hour5 -1338.54 68.52 -19.535 < 2e-16 ***
## hour6 -1463.47 68.52 -21.358 < 2e-16 ***
## hour7 -1573.25 68.52 -22.960 < 2e-16 ***
## hour8 -1605.90 68.52 -23.436 < 2e-16 ***
## hour9 -1606.83 68.52 -23.450 < 2e-16 ***
## hour10 -1572.47 68.52 -22.949 < 2e-16 ***
## hour11 -1491.04 68.52 -21.760 < 2e-16 ***
## hour12 -1256.40 68.52 -18.336 < 2e-16 ***
## hour13 -930.33 68.52 -13.577 < 2e-16 ***
## hour14 -666.75 68.52 -9.731 < 2e-16 ***
## hour15 -473.90 68.52 -6.916 2.70e-11 ***
## hour16 -368.47 68.52 -5.377 1.50e-07 ***
## hour17 -294.33 68.52 -4.295 2.34e-05 ***
## hour18 -250.18 68.52 -3.651 0.000307 ***
## hour19 -81.18 68.52 -1.185 0.237021
## hour20 47.25 68.52 0.690 0.491029
## hour21 184.82 68.52 2.697 0.007379 **
## hour22 189.17 68.52 2.761 0.006113 **
## hour23 83.96 68.52 1.225 0.221399
## dow2 -67.92 37.63 -1.805 0.072061 .
## dow3 70.07 37.45 1.871 0.062260 .
## dow4 54.52 37.63 1.449 0.148373
## dow5 14.31 37.63 0.380 0.703934
## dow6 122.65 37.63 3.259 0.001242 **
## dow7 85.08 37.63 2.261 0.024448 *
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 33980.55)
##
## Null deviance: 147749277 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 10432028 on 307 degrees of freedom
## AIC: 4503
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 1617.366 65.745 24.6004 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour1 -309.969 92.432 -3.3535 0.0007980 ***
## hour2 -655.754 82.065 -7.9906 1.342e-15 ***
## hour3 -944.611 76.353 -12.3717 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour4 -1146.111 71.027 -16.1362 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour5 -1338.540 71.339 -18.7631 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour6 -1463.469 79.871 -18.3230 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour7 -1573.254 58.732 -26.7871 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour8 -1605.897 59.548 -26.9680 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour9 -1606.826 58.980 -27.2437 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour10 -1572.469 59.048 -26.6302 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour11 -1491.040 58.968 -25.2858 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour12 -1256.397 61.217 -20.5236 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour13 -930.326 62.465 -14.8936 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour14 -666.754 74.565 -8.9419 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour15 -473.897 83.108 -5.7022 1.183e-08 ***
## hour16 -368.469 76.189 -4.8362 1.323e-06 ***
## hour17 -294.326 73.880 -3.9838 6.781e-05 ***
## hour18 -250.183 72.224 -3.4640 0.0005323 ***
## hour19 -81.183 70.410 -1.1530 0.2489081
## hour20 47.246 78.749 0.6000 0.5485386
## hour21 184.817 88.391 2.0909 0.0365357 *
## hour22 189.174 95.900 1.9726 0.0485381 *
## hour23 83.960 101.589 0.8265 0.4085405
## dow2 -67.917 38.586 -1.7601 0.0783856 .
## dow3 70.074 40.499 1.7303 0.0835838 .
## dow4 54.521 33.525 1.6263 0.1038924
## dow5 14.313 35.425 0.4040 0.6861992
## dow6 122.646 41.690 2.9419 0.0032625 **
## dow7 85.083 48.948 1.7382 0.0821717 .
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -493.63 -97.00 -13.55 78.44 652.48
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) -162.8244 23.6198 -6.894 2.74e-11 ***
## lin1 -1.0825 0.2424 -4.465 1.10e-05 ***
## lin2 1.1482 0.2403 4.778 2.65e-06 ***
## postchange 137.3053 33.2070 4.135 4.50e-05 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 23223.09)
##
## Null deviance: 10432028 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 7733288 on 333 degrees of freedom
## AIC: 4350.2
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) -162.82440 28.89766 -5.6345 1.755e-08 ***
## lin1 -1.08254 0.28506 -3.7976 0.0001461 ***
## lin2 1.14818 0.22462 5.1116 3.194e-07 ***
## postchange 137.30527 34.96035 3.9275 8.585e-05 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## [1] "26 Regression for xbxcall model2c on 2016-12-15/purple/50-90%"
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -578.75 -98.27 -22.55 100.40 1343.75
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 1801.24 56.85 31.682 < 2e-16 ***
## hour1 -181.83 72.49 -2.508 0.01265 *
## hour2 -445.12 72.49 -6.140 2.55e-09 ***
## hour3 -696.83 72.49 -9.612 < 2e-16 ***
## hour4 -1037.69 72.49 -14.314 < 2e-16 ***
## hour5 -1295.62 72.49 -17.872 < 2e-16 ***
## hour6 -1497.97 72.49 -20.663 < 2e-16 ***
## hour7 -1654.90 72.49 -22.828 < 2e-16 ***
## hour8 -1748.76 72.49 -24.123 < 2e-16 ***
## hour9 -1779.90 72.49 -24.552 < 2e-16 ***
## hour10 -1785.97 72.49 -24.636 < 2e-16 ***
## hour11 -1757.12 72.49 -24.238 < 2e-16 ***
## hour12 -1656.76 72.49 -22.854 < 2e-16 ***
## hour13 -1392.33 72.49 -19.206 < 2e-16 ***
## hour14 -1015.62 72.49 -14.010 < 2e-16 ***
## hour15 -725.33 72.49 -10.005 < 2e-16 ***
## hour16 -457.62 72.49 -6.312 9.60e-10 ***
## hour17 -374.19 72.49 -5.162 4.41e-07 ***
## hour18 -307.26 72.49 -4.238 2.98e-05 ***
## hour19 -234.83 72.49 -3.239 0.00133 **
## hour20 -73.62 72.49 -1.015 0.31067
## hour21 83.81 72.49 1.156 0.24853
## hour22 183.81 72.49 2.536 0.01172 *
## hour23 121.38 72.49 1.674 0.09507 .
## dow2 63.62 39.81 1.598 0.11102
## dow3 119.00 39.81 2.989 0.00302 **
## dow4 115.96 39.81 2.913 0.00384 **
## dow5 -103.88 39.62 -2.622 0.00918 **
## dow6 -66.31 39.81 -1.666 0.09678 .
## dow7 118.25 39.81 2.970 0.00321 **
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 38034.76)
##
## Null deviance: 176190777 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 11676672 on 307 degrees of freedom
## AIC: 4541
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 1801.240 63.677 28.2870 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour1 -181.832 84.418 -2.1539 0.0312444 *
## hour2 -445.117 86.001 -5.1757 2.271e-07 ***
## hour3 -696.832 85.981 -8.1045 5.296e-16 ***
## hour4 -1037.689 76.315 -13.5974 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour5 -1295.617 67.386 -19.2267 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour6 -1497.974 74.270 -20.1692 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour7 -1654.903 71.648 -23.0976 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour8 -1748.760 65.077 -26.8721 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour9 -1779.903 65.718 -27.0841 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour10 -1785.974 65.205 -27.3903 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour11 -1757.117 65.786 -26.7095 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour12 -1656.760 65.842 -25.1628 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour13 -1392.332 66.844 -20.8296 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour14 -1015.617 64.643 -15.7111 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour15 -725.332 81.489 -8.9010 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour16 -457.617 128.871 -3.5510 0.0003838 ***
## hour17 -374.189 88.187 -4.2432 2.204e-05 ***
## hour18 -307.260 81.620 -3.7645 0.0001669 ***
## hour19 -234.832 81.578 -2.8786 0.0039941 **
## hour20 -73.617 75.917 -0.9697 0.3321941
## hour21 83.811 82.930 1.0106 0.3121967
## hour22 183.811 94.087 1.9536 0.0507442 .
## hour23 121.383 88.992 1.3640 0.1725749
## dow2 63.625 49.467 1.2862 0.1983666
## dow3 119.000 30.831 3.8598 0.0001135 ***
## dow4 115.958 32.085 3.6141 0.0003013 ***
## dow5 -103.882 31.040 -3.3467 0.0008177 ***
## dow6 -66.312 34.266 -1.9352 0.0529615 .
## dow7 118.250 36.792 3.2140 0.0013091 **
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -541.05 -107.40 -11.41 85.29 1373.12
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 3.9691 27.7824 0.143 0.8865
## lin1 0.5953 0.2852 2.088 0.0376 *
## lin2 -0.5424 0.2826 -1.919 0.0558 .
## postchange 87.6500 39.0592 2.244 0.0255 *
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 32129.66)
##
## Null deviance: 11676672 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 10699177 on 333 degrees of freedom
## AIC: 4459.6
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 3.96907 32.44882 0.1223 0.902647
## lin1 0.59528 0.27311 2.1797 0.029283 *
## lin2 -0.54239 0.20134 -2.6939 0.007062 **
## postchange 87.65001 38.68570 2.2657 0.023470 *
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## [1] "27 Regression for xbxcall model2c on 2016-11-17/blue/content change"
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -964.12 -67.08 3.09 77.22 416.74
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 1648.86 46.15 35.730 < 2e-16 ***
## hour1 -143.18 55.68 -2.571 0.010640 *
## hour2 -430.42 55.68 -7.730 1.88e-13 ***
## hour3 -765.88 55.68 -13.754 < 2e-16 ***
## hour4 -1012.34 55.68 -18.180 < 2e-16 ***
## hour5 -1247.95 55.68 -22.411 < 2e-16 ***
## hour6 -1461.80 55.68 -26.251 < 2e-16 ***
## hour7 -1566.34 55.68 -28.129 < 2e-16 ***
## hour8 -1616.57 55.68 -29.031 < 2e-16 ***
## hour9 -1632.88 55.68 -29.324 < 2e-16 ***
## hour10 -1616.26 55.68 -29.025 < 2e-16 ***
## hour11 -1609.57 55.68 -28.905 < 2e-16 ***
## hour12 -1477.72 55.68 -26.537 < 2e-16 ***
## hour13 -1226.95 55.68 -22.034 < 2e-16 ***
## hour14 -846.95 55.68 -15.210 < 2e-16 ***
## hour15 -632.11 55.68 -11.352 < 2e-16 ***
## hour16 -557.73 54.68 -10.200 < 2e-16 ***
## hour17 -347.05 55.75 -6.226 1.72e-09 ***
## hour18 -303.05 55.75 -5.436 1.17e-07 ***
## hour19 -217.51 55.75 -3.902 0.000119 ***
## hour20 -126.90 55.75 -2.276 0.023568 *
## hour21 34.03 55.75 0.610 0.542085
## hour22 121.95 55.75 2.188 0.029511 *
## hour23 79.03 55.75 1.418 0.157390
## dow2 16.71 33.11 0.505 0.614140
## dow3 32.48 33.11 0.981 0.327425
## dow4 84.59 33.11 2.555 0.011155 *
## dow5 -51.26 33.00 -1.553 0.121443
## dow6 25.86 33.11 0.781 0.435493
## dow7 150.75 34.46 4.375 1.71e-05 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 20889.16)
##
## Null deviance: 128843284 on 313 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 5932522 on 284 degrees of freedom
## AIC: 4044.9
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 1648.856 52.043 31.6824 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour1 -143.185 64.379 -2.2241 0.026143 *
## hour2 -430.416 59.602 -7.2215 5.144e-13 ***
## hour3 -765.877 53.600 -14.2888 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour4 -1012.339 53.336 -18.9804 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour5 -1247.954 45.777 -27.2617 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour6 -1461.800 38.304 -38.1633 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour7 -1566.339 39.090 -40.0700 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour8 -1616.569 40.297 -40.1160 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour9 -1632.877 39.179 -41.6776 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour10 -1616.262 43.574 -37.0923 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour11 -1609.569 40.802 -39.4483 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour12 -1477.723 41.778 -35.3710 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour13 -1226.954 42.427 -28.9192 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour14 -846.954 40.772 -20.7727 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour15 -632.108 53.830 -11.7426 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour16 -557.733 90.878 -6.1371 8.402e-10 ***
## hour17 -347.050 56.737 -6.1168 9.547e-10 ***
## hour18 -303.050 65.342 -4.6379 3.519e-06 ***
## hour19 -217.512 62.304 -3.4911 0.000481 ***
## hour20 -126.896 52.855 -2.4008 0.016358 *
## hour21 34.027 55.764 0.6102 0.541734
## hour22 121.950 57.278 2.1291 0.033248 *
## hour23 79.027 63.229 1.2499 0.211354
## dow2 16.713 47.678 0.3505 0.725932
## dow3 32.484 42.523 0.7639 0.444924
## dow4 84.588 45.953 1.8407 0.065660 .
## dow5 -51.258 42.477 -1.2067 0.227540
## dow6 25.859 42.052 0.6149 0.538600
## dow7 150.749 47.431 3.1783 0.001482 **
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -956.99 -68.83 2.16 71.34 462.23
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) -60.9644 22.4769 -2.712 0.00705 **
## lin1 -0.6729 0.2671 -2.519 0.01227 *
## lin2 0.6325 0.2123 2.980 0.00311 **
## postchange 17.9969 30.5029 0.590 0.55562
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 18125.15)
##
## Null deviance: 5932522 on 313 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 5618797 on 310 degrees of freedom
## AIC: 3975.9
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) -60.96438 21.72018 -2.8068 0.0050035 **
## lin1 -0.67288 0.21189 -3.1756 0.0014953 **
## lin2 0.63250 0.17284 3.6594 0.0002528 ***
## postchange 17.99692 27.18816 0.6619 0.5080099
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## [1] "28 Regression for rate_xbxcall model2c on 2016-10-11/purple/0-10%"
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -0.0053966 -0.0016096 -0.0000894 0.0010578 0.0146357
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 0.0198963 0.0007224 27.543 < 2e-16 ***
## hour1 -0.0026124 0.0009168 -2.849 0.004687 **
## hour2 -0.0063722 0.0009168 -6.950 2.32e-11 ***
## hour3 -0.0076267 0.0009168 -8.319 3.26e-15 ***
## hour4 -0.0106353 0.0009168 -11.600 < 2e-16 ***
## hour5 -0.0136972 0.0009168 -14.940 < 2e-16 ***
## hour6 -0.0153908 0.0009168 -16.787 < 2e-16 ***
## hour7 -0.0160953 0.0009168 -17.556 < 2e-16 ***
## hour8 -0.0162440 0.0009351 -17.370 < 2e-16 ***
## hour9 -0.0164751 0.0009351 -17.618 < 2e-16 ***
## hour10 -0.0160166 0.0009351 -17.127 < 2e-16 ***
## hour11 -0.0156722 0.0009351 -16.759 < 2e-16 ***
## hour12 -0.0145563 0.0009168 -15.877 < 2e-16 ***
## hour13 -0.0125659 0.0009168 -13.706 < 2e-16 ***
## hour14 -0.0114745 0.0009560 -12.003 < 2e-16 ***
## hour15 -0.0103074 0.0009560 -10.782 < 2e-16 ***
## hour16 -0.0082573 0.0009168 -9.007 < 2e-16 ***
## hour17 -0.0079140 0.0009168 -8.632 3.73e-16 ***
## hour18 -0.0074314 0.0009168 -8.106 1.38e-14 ***
## hour19 -0.0057353 0.0009168 -6.256 1.38e-09 ***
## hour20 -0.0036583 0.0009351 -3.912 0.000114 ***
## hour21 -0.0022194 0.0009351 -2.373 0.018264 *
## hour22 0.0011921 0.0009168 1.300 0.194525
## hour23 0.0014482 0.0009168 1.580 0.115269
## dow2 -0.0043895 0.0005093 -8.618 4.11e-16 ***
## dow3 -0.0037254 0.0005069 -7.349 1.94e-12 ***
## dow4 -0.0039083 0.0005093 -7.673 2.42e-13 ***
## dow5 -0.0043553 0.0005093 -8.551 6.56e-16 ***
## dow6 -0.0032073 0.0005282 -6.072 3.85e-09 ***
## dow7 0.0013028 0.0005143 2.533 0.011815 *
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 6.083323e-06)
##
## Null deviance: 0.0143119 on 326 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 0.0018067 on 297 degrees of freedom
## AIC: -2968.7
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 0.01989626 0.00079396 25.0596 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour1 -0.00261237 0.00106705 -2.4482 0.0143563 *
## hour2 -0.00637220 0.00073681 -8.6484 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour3 -0.00762666 0.00135245 -5.6391 1.709e-08 ***
## hour4 -0.01063527 0.00090498 -11.7520 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour5 -0.01369717 0.00074798 -18.3123 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour6 -0.01539081 0.00079483 -19.3636 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour7 -0.01609532 0.00083067 -19.3764 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour8 -0.01624398 0.00098669 -16.4631 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour9 -0.01647511 0.00101429 -16.2430 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour10 -0.01601665 0.00109228 -14.6635 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour11 -0.01567219 0.00087339 -17.9442 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour12 -0.01455628 0.00073653 -19.7633 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour13 -0.01256593 0.00068813 -18.2609 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour14 -0.01147449 0.00086232 -13.3065 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour15 -0.01030735 0.00088401 -11.6598 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour16 -0.00825734 0.00103205 -8.0009 1.235e-15 ***
## hour17 -0.00791400 0.00095148 -8.3176 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour18 -0.00743140 0.00107811 -6.8930 5.463e-12 ***
## hour19 -0.00573534 0.00097647 -5.8735 4.266e-09 ***
## hour20 -0.00365832 0.00099188 -3.6883 0.0002258 ***
## hour21 -0.00221943 0.00087844 -2.5266 0.0115185 *
## hour22 0.00119209 0.00094539 1.2610 0.2073257
## hour23 0.00144818 0.00099860 1.4502 0.1469987
## dow2 -0.00438947 0.00044544 -9.8543 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow3 -0.00372537 0.00050931 -7.3145 2.583e-13 ***
## dow4 -0.00390827 0.00052515 -7.4422 9.905e-14 ***
## dow5 -0.00435532 0.00060737 -7.1708 7.455e-13 ***
## dow6 -0.00320727 0.00049879 -6.4301 1.275e-10 ***
## dow7 0.00130283 0.00063525 2.0509 0.0402774 *
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -0.0055921 -0.0015300 -0.0001391 0.0009793 0.0144543
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 2.817e-04 3.767e-04 0.748 0.455
## lin1 9.376e-07 4.110e-06 0.228 0.820
## lin2 2.768e-07 3.715e-06 0.074 0.941
## postchange -4.986e-04 5.217e-04 -0.956 0.340
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 5.552039e-06)
##
## Null deviance: 0.0018067 on 326 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 0.0017933 on 323 degrees of freedom
## AIC: -3023.2
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 2.8169e-04 3.0597e-04 0.9207 0.3572
## lin1 9.3762e-07 3.4811e-06 0.2693 0.7877
## lin2 2.7678e-07 3.4521e-06 0.0802 0.9361
## postchange -4.9861e-04 4.4158e-04 -1.1291 0.2588
## [1] "29 Regression for rate_xbxcall model2c on 2016-10-18/purple/10-30%"
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -0.03951 -0.00171 0.00165 0.00362 0.34959
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 0.0178100 0.0082458 2.160 0.0316 *
## hour1 -0.0030695 0.0105131 -0.292 0.7705
## hour2 -0.0064113 0.0105131 -0.610 0.5424
## hour3 -0.0088660 0.0105131 -0.843 0.3997
## hour4 -0.0113337 0.0105131 -1.078 0.2819
## hour5 -0.0138939 0.0105131 -1.322 0.1873
## hour6 -0.0155715 0.0105131 -1.481 0.1396
## hour7 -0.0164120 0.0105131 -1.561 0.1195
## hour8 -0.0165172 0.0105131 -1.571 0.1172
## hour9 -0.0166805 0.0105131 -1.587 0.1136
## hour10 -0.0162493 0.0105131 -1.546 0.1232
## hour11 -0.0160193 0.0105131 -1.524 0.1286
## hour12 -0.0147646 0.0105131 -1.404 0.1612
## hour13 -0.0129473 0.0105131 -1.232 0.2191
## hour14 -0.0114366 0.0105131 -1.088 0.2775
## hour15 -0.0102999 0.0105131 -0.980 0.3280
## hour16 -0.0090027 0.0105131 -0.856 0.3925
## hour17 -0.0083274 0.0105131 -0.792 0.4289
## hour18 -0.0038448 0.0105131 -0.366 0.7148
## hour19 0.0182298 0.0105131 1.734 0.0839 .
## hour20 0.0243723 0.0105131 2.318 0.0211 *
## hour21 -0.0007475 0.0107230 -0.070 0.9445
## hour22 0.0013488 0.0107230 0.126 0.9000
## hour23 0.0042471 0.0105131 0.404 0.6865
## dow2 -0.0049582 0.0057732 -0.859 0.3911
## dow3 -0.0033451 0.0057455 -0.582 0.5609
## dow4 -0.0044536 0.0057732 -0.771 0.4411
## dow5 -0.0049375 0.0057732 -0.855 0.3931
## dow6 0.0143698 0.0058401 2.461 0.0144 *
## dow7 0.0016000 0.0057732 0.277 0.7819
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 0.0007999039)
##
## Null deviance: 0.29392 on 334 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 0.24397 on 305 degrees of freedom
## AIC: -1407.6
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 0.01781000 0.00255193 6.9790 2.972e-12 ***
## hour1 -0.00306950 0.00272012 -1.1284 0.2591335
## hour2 -0.00641134 0.00264097 -2.4276 0.0151971 *
## hour3 -0.00886602 0.00260649 -3.4015 0.0006701 ***
## hour4 -0.01133368 0.00254824 -4.4476 8.682e-06 ***
## hour5 -0.01389387 0.00256510 -5.4165 6.078e-08 ***
## hour6 -0.01557155 0.00256184 -6.0783 1.215e-09 ***
## hour7 -0.01641196 0.00258665 -6.3449 2.226e-10 ***
## hour8 -0.01651725 0.00264979 -6.2334 4.564e-10 ***
## hour9 -0.01668052 0.00263849 -6.3220 2.582e-10 ***
## hour10 -0.01624929 0.00266207 -6.1040 1.034e-09 ***
## hour11 -0.01601926 0.00260503 -6.1494 7.780e-10 ***
## hour12 -0.01476460 0.00259079 -5.6989 1.206e-08 ***
## hour13 -0.01294729 0.00261153 -4.9577 7.132e-07 ***
## hour14 -0.01143658 0.00270842 -4.2226 2.415e-05 ***
## hour15 -0.01029994 0.00273076 -3.7718 0.0001621 ***
## hour16 -0.00900274 0.00276335 -3.2579 0.0011224 **
## hour17 -0.00832736 0.00271726 -3.0646 0.0021795 **
## hour18 -0.00384476 0.00357603 -1.0751 0.2823088
## hour19 0.01822977 0.02334965 0.7807 0.4349613
## hour20 0.02437226 0.02717636 0.8968 0.3698158
## hour21 -0.00074748 0.00250015 -0.2990 0.7649615
## hour22 0.00134876 0.00244715 0.5512 0.5815277
## hour23 0.00424714 0.00331043 1.2830 0.1995074
## dow2 -0.00495818 0.00157841 -3.1412 0.0016823 **
## dow3 -0.00334512 0.00160845 -2.0797 0.0375508 *
## dow4 -0.00445357 0.00160241 -2.7793 0.0054477 **
## dow5 -0.00493752 0.00162280 -3.0426 0.0023456 **
## dow6 0.01436979 0.01088511 1.3201 0.1867908
## dow7 0.00159996 0.00147110 1.0876 0.2767744
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -0.03670 -0.00332 0.00100 0.00434 0.34674
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) -3.421e-03 4.186e-03 -0.817 0.414
## lin1 -8.023e-06 4.296e-05 -0.187 0.852
## lin2 9.295e-06 4.335e-05 0.214 0.830
## postchange 5.410e-03 5.902e-03 0.917 0.360
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 0.000729231)
##
## Null deviance: 0.24397 on 334 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 0.24138 on 331 degrees of freedom
## AIC: -1463.2
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) -3.4212e-03 1.3919e-03 -2.4579 0.01398 *
## lin1 -8.0227e-06 1.3274e-05 -0.6044 0.54557
## lin2 9.2948e-06 1.6591e-05 0.5602 0.57531
## postchange 5.4095e-03 2.6877e-03 2.0127 0.04414 *
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## [1] "30 Regression for rate_xbxcall model2c on 2016-11-01/purple/30-50%"
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -0.0061684 -0.0014791 -0.0001982 0.0010462 0.0079468
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 0.0198739 0.0006911 28.757 < 2e-16 ***
## hour1 -0.0029718 0.0008812 -3.372 0.000841 ***
## hour2 -0.0060178 0.0008812 -6.829 4.59e-11 ***
## hour3 -0.0086865 0.0008812 -9.857 < 2e-16 ***
## hour4 -0.0107781 0.0008812 -12.231 < 2e-16 ***
## hour5 -0.0131094 0.0008812 -14.876 < 2e-16 ***
## hour6 -0.0149713 0.0008812 -16.989 < 2e-16 ***
## hour7 -0.0163731 0.0008812 -18.580 < 2e-16 ***
## hour8 -0.0168128 0.0008812 -19.079 < 2e-16 ***
## hour9 -0.0168620 0.0008812 -19.135 < 2e-16 ***
## hour10 -0.0165549 0.0008812 -18.786 < 2e-16 ***
## hour11 -0.0160029 0.0008812 -18.160 < 2e-16 ***
## hour12 -0.0147806 0.0008812 -16.773 < 2e-16 ***
## hour13 -0.0131320 0.0008812 -14.902 < 2e-16 ***
## hour14 -0.0114931 0.0008812 -13.042 < 2e-16 ***
## hour15 -0.0103683 0.0008812 -11.766 < 2e-16 ***
## hour16 -0.0095339 0.0008812 -10.819 < 2e-16 ***
## hour17 -0.0088819 0.0008812 -10.079 < 2e-16 ***
## hour18 -0.0084916 0.0008812 -9.636 < 2e-16 ***
## hour19 -0.0070754 0.0008812 -8.029 2.11e-14 ***
## hour20 -0.0055380 0.0008812 -6.285 1.13e-09 ***
## hour21 -0.0028365 0.0008812 -3.219 0.001425 **
## hour22 -0.0006412 0.0008812 -0.728 0.467371
## hour23 0.0001140 0.0008812 0.129 0.897161
## dow2 -0.0046623 0.0004839 -9.635 < 2e-16 ***
## dow3 -0.0032814 0.0004816 -6.814 5.03e-11 ***
## dow4 -0.0032289 0.0004839 -6.672 1.17e-10 ***
## dow5 -0.0039765 0.0004839 -8.218 5.89e-15 ***
## dow6 -0.0025867 0.0004839 -5.345 1.76e-07 ***
## dow7 0.0009608 0.0004839 1.986 0.047970 *
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 5.620059e-06)
##
## Null deviance: 0.0131476 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 0.0017254 on 307 degrees of freedom
## AIC: -3087.1
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 0.01987393 0.00085667 23.1990 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour1 -0.00297183 0.00115783 -2.5667 0.010267 *
## hour2 -0.00601783 0.00101762 -5.9136 3.346e-09 ***
## hour3 -0.00868650 0.00093132 -9.3271 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour4 -0.01077807 0.00094984 -11.3472 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour5 -0.01310939 0.00094842 -13.8224 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour6 -0.01497131 0.00103441 -14.4733 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour7 -0.01637314 0.00085331 -19.1877 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour8 -0.01681279 0.00087187 -19.2837 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour9 -0.01686200 0.00088052 -19.1500 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour10 -0.01655492 0.00090004 -18.3936 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour11 -0.01600286 0.00086389 -18.5241 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour12 -0.01478056 0.00079266 -18.6467 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour13 -0.01313197 0.00074998 -17.5097 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour14 -0.01149312 0.00092187 -12.4671 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour15 -0.01036831 0.00104154 -9.9548 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour16 -0.00953391 0.00095184 -10.0162 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour17 -0.00888189 0.00098320 -9.0337 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour18 -0.00849161 0.00094587 -8.9775 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour19 -0.00707539 0.00089167 -7.9350 2.105e-15 ***
## hour20 -0.00553805 0.00085181 -6.5015 7.951e-11 ***
## hour21 -0.00283649 0.00100929 -2.8104 0.004948 **
## hour22 -0.00064123 0.00103074 -0.6221 0.533870
## hour23 0.00011399 0.00116125 0.0982 0.921803
## dow2 -0.00466226 0.00054765 -8.5131 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow3 -0.00328144 0.00055312 -5.9326 2.982e-09 ***
## dow4 -0.00322887 0.00049296 -6.5499 5.756e-11 ***
## dow5 -0.00397654 0.00051682 -7.6942 1.424e-14 ***
## dow6 -0.00258671 0.00056758 -4.5575 5.177e-06 ***
## dow7 0.00096084 0.00072181 1.3312 0.183135
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -0.0045761 -0.0013318 -0.0002365 0.0010365 0.0077795
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) -1.913e-03 3.134e-04 -6.105 2.86e-09 ***
## lin1 -1.284e-05 3.217e-06 -3.993 8.05e-05 ***
## lin2 1.307e-05 3.189e-06 4.099 5.22e-05 ***
## postchange 1.639e-03 4.407e-04 3.719 0.000235 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 4.089313e-06)
##
## Null deviance: 0.0017254 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 0.0013617 on 333 degrees of freedom
## AIC: -3218.9
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) -1.9134e-03 3.2754e-04 -5.8418 5.165e-09 ***
## lin1 -1.2844e-05 3.2503e-06 -3.9517 7.758e-05 ***
## lin2 1.3070e-05 3.0495e-06 4.2861 1.819e-05 ***
## postchange 1.6387e-03 3.8798e-04 4.2237 2.404e-05 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## [1] "31 Regression for rate_xbxcall model2c on 2016-12-15/purple/50-90%"
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -0.0052973 -0.0016974 -0.0001152 0.0013397 0.0079829
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 2.194e-02 6.834e-04 32.097 < 2e-16 ***
## hour1 -2.110e-03 8.714e-04 -2.422 0.0160 *
## hour2 -4.207e-03 8.714e-04 -4.827 2.18e-06 ***
## hour3 -6.544e-03 8.714e-04 -7.510 6.49e-13 ***
## hour4 -9.914e-03 8.714e-04 -11.377 < 2e-16 ***
## hour5 -1.255e-02 8.714e-04 -14.407 < 2e-16 ***
## hour6 -1.509e-02 8.714e-04 -17.314 < 2e-16 ***
## hour7 -1.707e-02 8.714e-04 -19.586 < 2e-16 ***
## hour8 -1.824e-02 8.714e-04 -20.929 < 2e-16 ***
## hour9 -1.869e-02 8.714e-04 -21.443 < 2e-16 ***
## hour10 -1.877e-02 8.714e-04 -21.535 < 2e-16 ***
## hour11 -1.852e-02 8.714e-04 -21.253 < 2e-16 ***
## hour12 -1.778e-02 8.714e-04 -20.399 < 2e-16 ***
## hour13 -1.642e-02 8.714e-04 -18.844 < 2e-16 ***
## hour14 -1.433e-02 8.714e-04 -16.447 < 2e-16 ***
## hour15 -1.253e-02 8.714e-04 -14.374 < 2e-16 ***
## hour16 -1.112e-02 8.714e-04 -12.758 < 2e-16 ***
## hour17 -9.814e-03 8.714e-04 -11.262 < 2e-16 ***
## hour18 -8.973e-03 8.714e-04 -10.297 < 2e-16 ***
## hour19 -8.341e-03 8.714e-04 -9.571 < 2e-16 ***
## hour20 -6.748e-03 8.714e-04 -7.743 1.42e-13 ***
## hour21 -4.677e-03 8.714e-04 -5.366 1.58e-07 ***
## hour22 -2.011e-03 8.714e-04 -2.308 0.0217 *
## hour23 4.491e-05 8.714e-04 0.052 0.9589
## dow2 -4.131e-03 4.785e-04 -8.633 3.30e-16 ***
## dow3 -2.698e-03 4.785e-04 -5.637 3.92e-08 ***
## dow4 -2.362e-03 4.785e-04 -4.937 1.31e-06 ***
## dow5 -5.016e-03 4.763e-04 -10.532 < 2e-16 ***
## dow6 -4.178e-03 4.785e-04 -8.731 < 2e-16 ***
## dow7 8.303e-04 4.785e-04 1.735 0.0837 .
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 5.49608e-06)
##
## Null deviance: 0.0158925 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 0.0016873 on 307 degrees of freedom
## AIC: -3094.6
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 2.1936e-02 9.5717e-04 22.9180 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour1 -2.1104e-03 1.0703e-03 -1.9717 0.0486385 *
## hour2 -4.2069e-03 1.0976e-03 -3.8330 0.0001266 ***
## hour3 -6.5444e-03 1.1486e-03 -5.6975 1.216e-08 ***
## hour4 -9.9141e-03 1.0517e-03 -9.4271 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour5 -1.2555e-02 9.4455e-04 -13.2920 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour6 -1.5088e-02 1.0585e-03 -14.2551 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour7 -1.7068e-02 1.0667e-03 -16.0011 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour8 -1.8239e-02 9.9621e-04 -18.3081 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour9 -1.8686e-02 1.0280e-03 -18.1774 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour10 -1.8766e-02 1.0252e-03 -18.3058 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour11 -1.8521e-02 1.0444e-03 -17.7332 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour12 -1.7777e-02 9.9884e-04 -17.7973 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour13 -1.6421e-02 9.5059e-04 -17.2747 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour14 -1.4333e-02 9.1692e-04 -15.6312 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour15 -1.2526e-02 1.0624e-03 -11.7900 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour16 -1.1117e-02 1.0964e-03 -10.1399 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour17 -9.8139e-03 1.1596e-03 -8.4631 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour18 -8.9730e-03 1.1839e-03 -7.5794 3.472e-14 ***
## hour19 -8.3409e-03 1.1995e-03 -6.9536 3.561e-12 ***
## hour20 -6.7480e-03 1.1326e-03 -5.9578 2.557e-09 ***
## hour21 -4.6766e-03 1.1484e-03 -4.0721 4.659e-05 ***
## hour22 -2.0109e-03 1.1868e-03 -1.6944 0.0901868 .
## hour23 4.4907e-05 1.1803e-03 0.0380 0.9696489
## dow2 -4.1313e-03 5.0729e-04 -8.1437 3.832e-16 ***
## dow3 -2.6976e-03 4.7052e-04 -5.7333 9.849e-09 ***
## dow4 -2.3624e-03 4.6986e-04 -5.0278 4.961e-07 ***
## dow5 -5.0157e-03 4.7700e-04 -10.5151 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow6 -4.1781e-03 4.9316e-04 -8.4721 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow7 8.3027e-04 6.2440e-04 1.3297 0.1836131
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -0.0043648 -0.0015705 -0.0002936 0.0010743 0.0071270
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) -7.515e-04 3.209e-04 -2.342 0.019787 *
## lin1 1.508e-06 3.294e-06 0.458 0.647342
## lin2 -4.953e-07 3.265e-06 -0.152 0.879503
## postchange 1.667e-03 4.512e-04 3.694 0.000258 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 4.286827e-06)
##
## Null deviance: 0.0016873 on 336 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 0.0014275 on 333 degrees of freedom
## AIC: -3203
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) -7.5147e-04 2.7367e-04 -2.7459 0.006034 **
## lin1 1.5082e-06 2.8289e-06 0.5331 0.593948
## lin2 -4.9530e-07 2.5440e-06 -0.1947 0.845634
## postchange 1.6668e-03 3.9956e-04 4.1716 3.025e-05 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## [1] "32 Regression for rate_xbxcall model2c on 2016-11-17/blue/content change"
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -0.0081327 -0.0010820 -0.0000354 0.0010022 0.0166581
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 0.0214892 0.0006888 31.199 < 2e-16 ***
## hour1 -0.0027911 0.0008311 -3.358 0.000892 ***
## hour2 -0.0050140 0.0008311 -6.033 5.01e-09 ***
## hour3 -0.0082452 0.0008311 -9.920 < 2e-16 ***
## hour4 -0.0105464 0.0008311 -12.689 < 2e-16 ***
## hour5 -0.0130700 0.0008311 -15.726 < 2e-16 ***
## hour6 -0.0158277 0.0008311 -19.044 < 2e-16 ***
## hour7 -0.0171759 0.0008311 -20.666 < 2e-16 ***
## hour8 -0.0178586 0.0008311 -21.487 < 2e-16 ***
## hour9 -0.0180537 0.0008311 -21.722 < 2e-16 ***
## hour10 -0.0177976 0.0008311 -21.414 < 2e-16 ***
## hour11 -0.0179295 0.0008311 -21.572 < 2e-16 ***
## hour12 -0.0169602 0.0008311 -20.406 < 2e-16 ***
## hour13 -0.0157293 0.0008311 -18.925 < 2e-16 ***
## hour14 -0.0136625 0.0008311 -16.438 < 2e-16 ***
## hour15 -0.0123838 0.0008311 -14.900 < 2e-16 ***
## hour16 -0.0120646 0.0008161 -14.783 < 2e-16 ***
## hour17 -0.0100940 0.0008320 -12.132 < 2e-16 ***
## hour18 -0.0094978 0.0008320 -11.415 < 2e-16 ***
## hour19 -0.0088177 0.0008320 -10.598 < 2e-16 ***
## hour20 -0.0077850 0.0008320 -9.357 < 2e-16 ***
## hour21 -0.0057563 0.0008320 -6.918 3.03e-11 ***
## hour22 -0.0031857 0.0008320 -3.829 0.000158 ***
## hour23 -0.0004680 0.0008320 -0.562 0.574237
## dow2 -0.0045357 0.0004942 -9.177 < 2e-16 ***
## dow3 -0.0036820 0.0004942 -7.450 1.13e-12 ***
## dow4 -0.0027765 0.0004942 -5.618 4.61e-08 ***
## dow5 -0.0047412 0.0004925 -9.627 < 2e-16 ***
## dow6 -0.0030225 0.0004942 -6.116 3.18e-09 ***
## dow7 0.0013770 0.0005143 2.677 0.007852 **
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 4.653619e-06)
##
## Null deviance: 0.0127004 on 313 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 0.0013216 on 284 degrees of freedom
## AIC: -2933.7
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 0.02148918 0.00140301 15.3165 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour1 -0.00279110 0.00144507 -1.9315 0.0534259 .
## hour2 -0.00501397 0.00142793 -3.5114 0.0004458 ***
## hour3 -0.00824518 0.00140762 -5.8575 4.698e-09 ***
## hour4 -0.01054638 0.00141648 -7.4455 9.658e-14 ***
## hour5 -0.01307004 0.00140670 -9.2912 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour6 -0.01582774 0.00140435 -11.2705 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour7 -0.01717587 0.00142833 -12.0251 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour8 -0.01785857 0.00145854 -12.2441 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour9 -0.01805372 0.00144534 -12.4910 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour10 -0.01779757 0.00145353 -12.2444 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour11 -0.01792948 0.00148614 -12.0645 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour12 -0.01696015 0.00144816 -11.7115 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour13 -0.01572926 0.00140367 -11.2058 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour14 -0.01366255 0.00138166 -9.8885 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour15 -0.01238375 0.00143614 -8.6229 < 2.2e-16 ***
## hour16 -0.01206457 0.00156355 -7.7161 1.199e-14 ***
## hour17 -0.01009398 0.00144610 -6.9801 2.949e-12 ***
## hour18 -0.00949779 0.00147189 -6.4528 1.098e-10 ***
## hour19 -0.00881772 0.00148433 -5.9405 2.841e-09 ***
## hour20 -0.00778501 0.00142937 -5.4465 5.138e-08 ***
## hour21 -0.00575629 0.00139931 -4.1137 3.894e-05 ***
## hour22 -0.00318566 0.00138152 -2.3059 0.0211156 *
## hour23 -0.00046800 0.00179114 -0.2613 0.7938732
## dow2 -0.00453571 0.00055853 -8.1208 4.633e-16 ***
## dow3 -0.00368200 0.00054098 -6.8062 1.002e-11 ***
## dow4 -0.00277645 0.00058087 -4.7798 1.755e-06 ***
## dow5 -0.00474119 0.00057250 -8.2815 < 2.2e-16 ***
## dow6 -0.00302249 0.00063696 -4.7452 2.083e-06 ***
## dow7 0.00137696 0.00077073 1.7866 0.0740089 .
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = form, data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -0.0081227 -0.0011831 0.0000357 0.0010280 0.0168225
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) -5.645e-04 3.411e-04 -1.655 0.0989 .
## lin1 -6.932e-06 4.054e-06 -1.710 0.0883 .
## lin2 5.962e-06 3.222e-06 1.850 0.0652 .
## postchange 1.140e-04 4.629e-04 0.246 0.8057
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for gaussian family taken to be 4.174845e-06)
##
## Null deviance: 0.0013216 on 313 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 0.0012942 on 310 degrees of freedom
## AIC: -2992.3
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 2
##
##
## z test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) -5.6455e-04 2.3515e-04 -2.4008 0.01636 *
## lin1 -6.9321e-06 2.6939e-06 -2.5733 0.01007 *
## lin2 5.9617e-06 2.8448e-06 2.0957 0.03611 *
## postchange 1.1396e-04 4.4457e-04 0.2563 0.79770
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Results
Step 1 Results
| idx | title | model | formula | chgDate | chgVal | aic | deviance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SMC - Hourly Chats | model2c | winchib ~ hour + dow | 2016-08-17 | 0_30 | 3574.605 | 6.635546e+05 |
| 2 | SMC - Hourly Chats | model2c | winchib ~ hour + dow | 2016-09-1 | 30_50 | 3491.759 | 5.189343e+05 |
| 3 | SMC - Hourly Chats | model2c | winchib ~ hour + dow | 2016-09-07 | 50_100 | 3452.170 | 4.614167e+05 |
| 4 | SMC - Hourly Chat Rate per Session | model2c | rate_winchib ~ hour + dow | 2016-08-17 | 0_30 | -4343.877 | 4.140000e-05 |
| 5 | SMC - Hourly Chat Rate per Session | model2c | rate_winchib ~ hour + dow | 2016-09-1 | 30_50 | -4296.916 | 4.760000e-05 |
| 6 | SMC - Hourly Chat Rate per Session | model2c | rate_winchib ~ hour + dow | 2016-09-07 | 50_100 | -4283.854 | 4.950000e-05 |
| 7 | SMC - Hourly Chats | model2c | wincall ~ hour + dow | 2016-08-17 | 0_30 | 3793.924 | 1.272079e+06 |
| 8 | SMC - Hourly Chats | model2c | wincall ~ hour + dow | 2016-09-1 | 30_50 | 3861.978 | 1.556739e+06 |
| 9 | SMC - Hourly Chats | model2c | wincall ~ hour + dow | 2016-09-07 | 50_100 | 3895.735 | 1.720755e+06 |
| 10 | SMC - Hourly Chat Rate per Session | model2c | rate_wincall ~ hour + dow | 2016-08-17 | 0_30 | -4378.675 | 3.740000e-05 |
| 11 | SMC - Hourly Chat Rate per Session | model2c | rate_wincall ~ hour + dow | 2016-09-1 | 30_50 | -3993.703 | 1.171000e-04 |
| 12 | SMC - Hourly Chat Rate per Session | model2c | rate_wincall ~ hour + dow | 2016-09-07 | 50_100 | -3945.263 | 1.352000e-04 |
| 13 | Xbox - Hourly Chats | model2c | xbxchib ~ hour + dow | 2016-10-11 | 0_10 | 3329.835 | 4.189309e+05 |
| 14 | Xbox - Hourly Chats | model2c | xbxchib ~ hour + dow | 2016-10-18 | 10_30 | 3255.501 | 2.707879e+05 |
| 15 | Xbox - Hourly Chats | model2c | xbxchib ~ hour + dow | 2016-11-01 | 30_50 | 3556.853 | 6.295051e+05 |
| 16 | Xbox - Hourly Chats | model2c | xbxchib ~ hour + dow | 2016-12-15 | 50_90 | 3478.329 | 4.986604e+05 |
| 17 | Xbox - Hourly Chats | model2c | xbxchib ~ hour + dow | 2016-11-17 | content change | 3298.600 | 5.508178e+05 |
| 18 | Xbox - Hourly Chat Rate per Session | model2c | rate_xbxchib ~ hour + dow | 2016-10-11 | 0_10 | -4085.187 | 5.940000e-05 |
| 19 | Xbox - Hourly Chat Rate per Session | model2c | rate_xbxchib ~ hour + dow | 2016-10-18 | 10_30 | -2775.264 | 4.114700e-03 |
| 20 | Xbox - Hourly Chat Rate per Session | model2c | rate_xbxchib ~ hour + dow | 2016-11-01 | 30_50 | -4026.424 | 1.063000e-04 |
| 21 | Xbox - Hourly Chat Rate per Session | model2c | rate_xbxchib ~ hour + dow | 2016-12-15 | 50_90 | -4106.839 | 8.370000e-05 |
| 22 | Xbox - Hourly Chat Rate per Session | model2c | rate_xbxchib ~ hour + dow | 2016-11-17 | content change | -3723.680 | 1.068000e-04 |
| 23 | Xbox - Hourly Chats | model2c | xbxcall ~ hour + dow | 2016-10-11 | 0_10 | 4450.684 | 1.290512e+07 |
| 24 | Xbox - Hourly Chats | model2c | xbxcall ~ hour + dow | 2016-10-18 | 10_30 | 4394.076 | 8.103633e+06 |
| 25 | Xbox - Hourly Chats | model2c | xbxcall ~ hour + dow | 2016-11-01 | 30_50 | 4503.048 | 1.043203e+07 |
| 26 | Xbox - Hourly Chats | model2c | xbxcall ~ hour + dow | 2016-12-15 | 50_90 | 4541.033 | 1.167667e+07 |
| 27 | Xbox - Hourly Chats | model2c | xbxcall ~ hour + dow | 2016-11-17 | content change | 4044.915 | 5.932522e+06 |
| 28 | Xbox - Hourly Chat Rate per Session | model2c | rate_xbxcall ~ hour + dow | 2016-10-11 | 0_10 | -2968.738 | 1.806700e-03 |
| 29 | Xbox - Hourly Chat Rate per Session | model2c | rate_xbxcall ~ hour + dow | 2016-10-18 | 10_30 | -1407.632 | 2.439707e-01 |
| 30 | Xbox - Hourly Chat Rate per Session | model2c | rate_xbxcall ~ hour + dow | 2016-11-01 | 30_50 | -3087.105 | 1.725400e-03 |
| 31 | Xbox - Hourly Chat Rate per Session | model2c | rate_xbxcall ~ hour + dow | 2016-12-15 | 50_90 | -3094.623 | 1.687300e-03 |
| 32 | Xbox - Hourly Chat Rate per Session | model2c | rate_xbxcall ~ hour + dow | 2016-11-17 | content change | -2933.688 | 1.321600e-03 |
Step 2 Results
| idx | title | model | formula | chgDate | chgVal | chgCoef.fit | chgCoef.smry | chgStd.smry | chgZval.cfit | chgPval.cfit | s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SMC - Hourly Chats | model2c | step1residuals ~ lin1 + lin2 + postchange | 2016-08-17 | 0_30 | 3.6099102 | 3.6099102 | 9.6593264 | 0.3772374 | 0.7059972 | | |
| 2 | SMC - Hourly Chats | model2c | step1residuals ~ lin1 + lin2 + postchange | 2016-09-1 | 30_50 | 2.5569213 | 2.5569213 | 8.5573647 | 0.3309858 | 0.7406552 | | |
| 3 | SMC - Hourly Chats | model2c | step1residuals ~ lin1 + lin2 + postchange | 2016-09-07 | 50_100 | -5.7870962 | -5.7870962 | 8.0803093 | -0.6198333 | 0.5353675 | | |
| 4 | SMC - Hourly Chat Rate per Session | model2c | step1residuals ~ lin1 + lin2 + postchange | 2016-08-17 | 0_30 | 0.0001094 | 0.0001094 | 0.0000760 | 1.4879623 | 0.1367608 | | |
| 5 | SMC - Hourly Chat Rate per Session | model2c | step1residuals ~ lin1 + lin2 + postchange | 2016-09-1 | 30_50 | 0.0001432 | 0.0001432 | 0.0000804 | 2.1996495 | 0.0278318 | | * |
| 6 | SMC - Hourly Chat Rate per Session | model2c | step1residuals ~ lin1 + lin2 + postchange | 2016-09-07 | 50_100 | -0.0001240 | -0.0001240 | 0.0000812 | -1.4806961 | 0.1386876 | | |
| 7 | SMC - Hourly Chats | model2c | step1residuals ~ lin1 + lin2 + postchange | 2016-08-17 | 0_30 | -16.1807861 | -16.1807861 | 13.3503031 | -1.4933531 | 0.1353448 | | |
| 8 | SMC - Hourly Chats | model2c | step1residuals ~ lin1 + lin2 + postchange | 2016-09-1 | 30_50 | -34.3358166 | -34.3358166 | 14.3735602 | -2.8179245 | 0.0048335 | | ** |
| 9 | SMC - Hourly Chats | model2c | step1residuals ~ lin1 + lin2 + postchange | 2016-09-07 | 50_100 | 12.4489877 | 12.4489877 | 15.2886221 | 0.7676351 | 0.4427040 | | |
| 10 | SMC - Hourly Chat Rate per Session | model2c | step1residuals ~ lin1 + lin2 + postchange | 2016-08-17 | 0_30 | -0.0000836 | -0.0000836 | 0.0000720 | -1.3555447 | 0.1752441 | | |
| 11 | SMC - Hourly Chat Rate per Session | model2c | step1residuals ~ lin1 + lin2 + postchange | 2016-09-1 | 30_50 | -0.0000482 | -0.0000482 | 0.0001290 | -0.5709237 | 0.5680514 | | |
| 12 | SMC - Hourly Chat Rate per Session | model2c | step1residuals ~ lin1 + lin2 + postchange | 2016-09-07 | 50_100 | -0.0000784 | -0.0000784 | 0.0001386 | -0.3417116 | 0.7325680 | | |
| 13 | Xbox - Hourly Chats | model2c | step1residuals ~ lin1 + lin2 + postchange | 2016-10-11 | 0_10 | -19.2428551 | -19.2428551 | 7.3410513 | -2.8117013 | 0.0049280 | | ** |
| 14 | Xbox - Hourly Chats | model2c | step1residuals ~ lin1 + lin2 + postchange | 2016-10-18 | 10_30 | -3.4163190 | -3.4163190 | 6.1462413 | -0.6065983 | 0.5441176 | | |
| 15 | Xbox - Hourly Chats | model2c | step1residuals ~ lin1 + lin2 + postchange | 2016-11-01 | 30_50 | 33.9929346 | 33.9929346 | 8.0466906 | 4.8027829 | 0.0000016 | | *** |
| 16 | Xbox - Hourly Chats | model2c | step1residuals ~ lin1 + lin2 + postchange | 2016-12-15 | 50_90 | 31.2028562 | 31.2028562 | 7.6219032 | 4.1857564 | 0.0000284 | | *** |
| 17 | Xbox - Hourly Chats | model2c | step1residuals ~ lin1 + lin2 + postchange | 2016-11-17 | content change | 12.4953521 | 12.4953521 | 9.4422984 | 1.6555991 | 0.0978030 | | . |
| 18 | Xbox - Hourly Chat Rate per Session | model2c | step1residuals ~ lin1 + lin2 + postchange | 2016-10-11 | 0_10 | -0.0002296 | -0.0002296 | 0.0000906 | -2.7460017 | 0.0060326 | | ** |
| 19 | Xbox - Hourly Chat Rate per Session | model2c | step1residuals ~ lin1 + lin2 + postchange | 2016-10-18 | 10_30 | 0.0007107 | 0.0007107 | 0.0007664 | 2.0194630 | 0.0434391 | | * |
| 20 | Xbox - Hourly Chat Rate per Session | model2c | step1residuals ~ lin1 + lin2 + postchange | 2016-11-01 | 30_50 | 0.0004420 | 0.0004420 | 0.0001081 | 5.1210113 | 0.0000003 | | *** |
| 21 | Xbox - Hourly Chat Rate per Session | model2c | step1residuals ~ lin1 + lin2 + postchange | 2016-12-15 | 50_90 | 0.0004617 | 0.0004617 | 0.0000955 | 5.4625347 | 0.0000000 | | *** |
| 22 | Xbox - Hourly Chat Rate per Session | model2c | step1residuals ~ lin1 + lin2 + postchange | 2016-11-17 | content change | 0.0001385 | 0.0001385 | 0.0001323 | 1.4122389 | 0.1578796 | | |
| 23 | Xbox - Hourly Chats | model2c | step1residuals ~ lin1 + lin2 + postchange | 2016-10-11 | 0_10 | -15.2301854 | -15.2301854 | 44.2195628 | -0.4057033 | 0.6849606 | | |
| 24 | Xbox - Hourly Chats | model2c | step1residuals ~ lin1 + lin2 + postchange | 2016-10-18 | 10_30 | 4.3103307 | 4.3103307 | 34.1533979 | 0.1279513 | 0.8981875 | | |
| 25 | Xbox - Hourly Chats | model2c | step1residuals ~ lin1 + lin2 + postchange | 2016-11-01 | 30_50 | 137.3052654 | 137.3052654 | 33.2070178 | 3.9274570 | 0.0000858 | | *** |
| 26 | Xbox - Hourly Chats | model2c | step1residuals ~ lin1 + lin2 + postchange | 2016-12-15 | 50_90 | 87.6500100 | 87.6500100 | 39.0591661 | 2.2656952 | 0.0234700 | | * |
| 27 | Xbox - Hourly Chats | model2c | step1residuals ~ lin1 + lin2 + postchange | 2016-11-17 | content change | 17.9969247 | 17.9969247 | 30.5028676 | 0.6619397 | 0.5080099 | | |
| 28 | Xbox - Hourly Chat Rate per Session | model2c | step1residuals ~ lin1 + lin2 + postchange | 2016-10-11 | 0_10 | -0.0004986 | -0.0004986 | 0.0005217 | -1.1291371 | 0.2588400 | | |
| 29 | Xbox - Hourly Chat Rate per Session | model2c | step1residuals ~ lin1 + lin2 + postchange | 2016-10-18 | 10_30 | 0.0054095 | 0.0054095 | 0.0059016 | 2.0127194 | 0.0441442 | | * |
| 30 | Xbox - Hourly Chat Rate per Session | model2c | step1residuals ~ lin1 + lin2 + postchange | 2016-11-01 | 30_50 | 0.0016387 | 0.0016387 | 0.0004407 | 4.2236696 | 0.0000240 | | *** |
| 31 | Xbox - Hourly Chat Rate per Session | model2c | step1residuals ~ lin1 + lin2 + postchange | 2016-12-15 | 50_90 | 0.0016668 | 0.0016668 | 0.0004512 | 4.1715945 | 0.0000302 | | *** |
| 32 | Xbox - Hourly Chat Rate per Session | model2c | step1residuals ~ lin1 + lin2 + postchange | 2016-11-17 | content change | 0.0001140 | 0.0001140 | 0.0004629 | 0.2563250 | 0.7976999 | | |
Done
## [1] "Version 0.6 created on 27 Mar 2017 - 20:44:09 took 83.1 secs"